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The declining trend in eurozone fragmentation risk is meeting resistance. The ECB signals that it will become the first global central bank to adopt "Sustainable Easing" into its monetary policy framework. ECB defined "Sustainable Easing" conflates Global Warming with emergency CO...
News earlier today that the US President and his wife have tested positive for the COVID-19 virus has injected a new unknown into not only the US election but the markets as well. US shares are around 1.2% lower. European shares have recouped some of the initial sharper losses. ...
The euro has been showing signs of fatigue in the past few weeks as investors rush for safe havens amid rising uncertainty over US elections. Euro leading indicators are sending mix signals at the moment, but equities and especially banks are still pricing in a "gloomy" outlook. W...
The US dollar's eight-week slide against the Chinese yuan, the longest in more than 2 1/2 years, ended this week with about a 0.75% advance. UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Sunak will replace the furlough job program, which expires at the end of October, with a new program. The Hou...
Poor bank performance is a result of their correlation with the real economy and the lack of truly organic economic growth. FX volatility is the thing to own through the year’s end because bond volatility is flat, equity volatility is already rich, and issues could play out in ...
Flash Eurozone PMI signals stalling economy as rebound from COVID-19 fades. Services contract, offsetting faster manufacturing expansion. Germany leads upturn thanks to manufacturing surge, France and periphery slip back into decline. Job losses ease but remain higher than at ...
It used to be that central banks heavily influenced inflation through tools such as interest rates, money supply and bank reserves. However, in a post-COVID-19 world with interest rates close to their lower bounds, this balance may be shifting, with fiscal policy now a much more impor...
In this article I will walk you through the commonly used but wrong way to think about volatility decay. We'll then walk through an example of volatility decay with realistic numbers. Afterwards, we'll build a simple mathematical model to calculate volatility decay from first prin...
By David Zahn, CFA, FRM, Head of European Fixed Income, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income The United Kingdom officially left the European Union in January of this year, but issues remain in the Brexit saga, namely trade relations. David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, weighs in on ...
Despite increasing fears of a second wave of COVID-19 infections, consensus 2020 earnings forecasts have remained stable over the past 4 weeks. The COVID-19 downgrade cycle appears complete on a global basis, provided widespread second lockdowns can be avoided. Exhibit 1: Global COVID-19 dow...
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2024-07-08 07:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-08 07:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-18 00:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...