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By Nick Maroutsos The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark rate at its September meeting, but is divided about whether further cuts will be needed this year. Co-Head of Global Bonds Nick Maroutsos says the stance creates uncertainty for investors and ignores structural challenges in the ...
Originally published on September 16, 2019 The two-way trade resumes. Wow! What a week it was. Last week, I mean. Interest rates on the long end of the yield curve got yanked up so much the banking system ended up with a wedgie. The yield on the 30-year T-bond soared 35 basis points, t...
By Nick Childs, CFA While mortgages have underperformed U.S. Treasuries year to date, lower rates have sparked a refinancing wave that is creating tailwinds in the housing market. Portfolio Manager Nick Childs explains why we believe active management is key to uncovering opportunities in...
US Treasury 10-year yields could drop to 1% or below, Sri-Kumar Global Strategies President Komal Sri-Kumar told viewers of Real Vision’s Trade Ideas. On September 18, the Fed cut its benchmark interest rate by 25bps, a move which Sri-Kumar pointed out was already fully priced in...
By Owain Johnson At a Glance As corporations look to meet quarterly tax payments, the Fed looks to inject money into the system for first time since the 2008 crisis. Trading in SOFR futures nears all-time records in response to rate volatility. Cash has drained from the financial...
By Eric Winograd With the global economy facing stronger headwinds, we've reduced our global growth and interest rate expectations . But the US Federal Reserve has a variety of policy tools it could use - some unconventional - that we think will help the US economy hold up better than som...
What's really at stake when an investor lends money at a particular rate of interest is what the rate of inflation will be over the same period of time as the life of the bond. If the investor believes credit growth is drying up and will be very low, then inflation is likely to be low, and i...
The unprecedented attack on Saudi Arabia’s Abqaiq crude oil processing facility, the largest in the world, is getting a lot of attention and rightly so. As the single worst supply disruption in the oil markets in history, one would expect a bit of press. There are a few aspects of the e...
By Robert Hughes The Consumer Price Index rose 0.1 percent in August and is up 1.7 percent from a year ago. The volatile food and energy components had contrasting results, with food prices unchanged for the month, while energy prices fell 1.9 percent. In the food category, prices for food...
One of the most remarkable features of our current economy is that interest rates are flat or negative in real terms, and many people are advocating they need to, or should, go lower. This is not completely unprecedented. Real rates were negative after the second World War and again in the 197...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...