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Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on December 2, 2019. [This blog post is a modified excerpt from a TSI commentary.] In one important respect, the average central banker is like the average politician. They both tend to focus on the direct and/or short-term effects ...
U.S. President Donald Trump has been pushing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to consider cutting policy rates below zero in an effort to stimulate growth and weaken the dollar. But his stance is a lonely one, as negative policy rates have largely gone out of style. Global central banks are reconside...
It Happened Again The turmoil in the overnight repo markets had largely subsided in November. The last time I had occasion to write about this was on October 28, so you get the picture. Fed injections of overnight liquidity, and also outright purchases of Treasuries - largely short-termed T-...
America's tariffs against China are already showing signs of undermining the global economy and will create a funding crisis for the federal government when it leads to foreigners no longer buying US Treasury debt and selling down their existing dollar holdings. A subversive attempt by America...
By Jill Mislinski Note: The charts below have been updated with the latest Personal Consumption Expenditures price index from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The annualized rate of change is calculated to two decimal places for more precision in the side-by-side comparison with the Con...
A serious rejection in its first major discussion of negative interest rates recounted in the FOMC minutes. The minutes for the FOMC meeting on October 29-30, released today, shed some light on the laundry list of discussions arising out of the Fed's current review of monetary policy strat...
When you have entered this space, you may be assured that you have gone into some kind of distorted world, possibly created by Aldous Huxley. It may be a "Brave New World," but it may also be a level of Dante's "Inferno." Whatever it eventually turns out to be, it is certainly a historical pro...
In last week's testimony before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell applauded the U.S. economy's continued strength. He also suggested that, after easing monetary policy three times this year, the Fed will hold interest rates at their present leve...
Rick Rieder and Russ Brownback argue that - in contrast to the past decade of monetary policy lifting all economic boats at once - the years ahead are likely to be characterized by great dispersion between economies, industries and markets. Understanding that dynamic will be the name of the g...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on November 18, 2019. In a blog post in early September , I noted that the 10-year TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Security) yield had just gone negative and that the previous two times that this proxy for the real interest rate wen...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...