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Moody's Investors Service affirms the government of the U.S.'s Aaa long-term-issuer rating and senior unsecured ratings, the highest level on the ratings firm's scale. More news on: Invesco DB USD Bullish ETF, Invesco DB US Dollar Index Trust - Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund, iS...
Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on June 17, 2020. [This blog post is an excerpt from a recent TSI commentary] The year-over-year rate of growth in US True Money Supply ((TMS)), a.k.a. the US monetary inflation rate, has continued its journey "to da moon." Based on...
On Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated he is considering "yield curve control." Previously, in the 1940s, when the Federal Reserve controlled the yield curve, it created deeply negative real interest rates. If repeated today, this would cause the gold price to sky-rocket. Due to the cu...
By Kevin Flanagan, Head of Fixed Income Strategy Those of you outside Southern California may not be familiar with the term "June Gloom." It describes a late spring phenomenon where the marine layer brings in cool, cloudy weather in the morning, but the sun peeks through later in the after...
While the silver price has yet to experience the significant move that many like myself are still fully expecting, that doesn't mean the developments are not happening below the surface. Fortunately, I was invited onto Jean-Claude's Beyond Mystic channel to talk about what's going on, how th...
My brief exchange with Markus Brunnermeier at the end of a COVID-19 talk attracted some attention, and merits a more detailed intervention. Gavin Davies at FT made some comments (more later) as did the Economist . My proposal to fund the US with perpetuities comes from a paper, here . ...
A dangerous idea seems to have gained wide currency in both academic and economic policymaking circles. It is the notion that in a world of low interest rates, governments should not feel themselves constrained in their public spending decisions by budget deficit considerations. This idea risk...
By Kevin Flanagan, Head of Fixed Income Strategy Last week, I discussed the debate regarding Federal Reserve (Fed) policy and negative rates . In this week's blog, I wanted to follow up on the "negative rate" theme, specifically as it relates to U.S. Treasury ((UST)) T-bill rates. I hav...
In 2020, many investors have shifted the focus of their fixed-income portfolios from the return ON principal to the return OF principal. Karen highlights how the desire for stability is driving investors to tap into U.S. Treasury markets with ETFs. The market volatility since the start of...
By Kevin Flanagan, Head of Fixed Income Strategy Given the current state of the U.S. economy and the prior dislocations in the money and bond markets, there has been an increasing amount of chatter regarding whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) would actually consider pushing the Fed Funds ra...
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2024-07-25 07:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-24 19:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-05 01:36:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...