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By Jill Mislinski Here is the opening statement from the Department of Labor: In the week ending July 13, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 216,000, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 1,0...
In the weekly AAII investor survey, bullish sentiment is the predominant sentiment reading for the first time since early May. Rising for the sixth week in a row, bullish sentiment now rests at 35.93%, the highest since May 9 th when it was 43.12%. Bullish sentiment has slowly recovered f...
Introduction Even though market measures of inflation expectations such as the 5Y5Y inflation swap have been dropping in recent months, suggesting that the US is experiencing a disinflationary phase and pushing the Fed to act as soon as possible, leading indicators are still showing that the...
Since I have been investing, I have never seen more of a disconnect between data and the market. The Fed has created a unique environment where investors are not ignorant but naive due to the unavoidable distraction of several potential rate cuts between now and the end of Q1 2020. Why the Fed...
One of my investment principles is: Identify the paradigm you're in, examine if and how it is unsustainable, and visualize how the paradigm shift will transpire when that which is unsustainable stops. Over my roughly 50 years of being a global macro investor, I have observed there to be ...
America's biggest banks are reporting better than expected earnings results for the second quarter, but I wouldn't make a long-term bet on the group moving forward. It isn't because of the negative implications of the continuing trade war with China or the fact that we have a suddenly dovish F...
By Richard Lawrence For those of you who know little about ice hockey, Wayne Gretzky is widely regarded as the greatest player in the sport's history. Part of what made him successful was his intuition and anticipation of the game - he saw things that others didn't see, or at least he saw ...
At some point this bull market will peak, roll over, and enter a bear market phase. If you disagree with this assertion, I invite you to present your counter-argument in the comment section below. There are few ironclad principles in the realm of stock market investing. These are principles ...
Editor's note: Seeking Alpha is proud to welcome Manish Aurora as a new contributor. It's easy to become a Seeking Alpha contributor and earn money for your best investment ideas. Active contributors also get free access to SA Essential. Click here to find out more » To paraphrase wor...
By David Aurelio The second quarter of 2019's earnings season has arrived and analysts have become increasingly bearish. Analysts currently estimate S&P 500 year-on-year (YoY) 19Q2 earnings will decline 0.1%; however, a year ago expectations for the index were for an increase of 10.6%....
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2024-05-18 11:39:00 ET Many investors don't try to hand-pick market-beating stocks. With index investing, you can benefit from the wealth-building long-term trends of the stock market with a single ticker. Many will settle for the broad S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) index, tracked b...
A fresh inflation reading for April had economists on Wednesday hopeful that a soft landing scenario is still possible for the American economy. Wi...
2024-05-11 07:45:00 ET Congratulations! You've decided that you want to start putting money to work in the stock market. This first step is commendable. However, you're overwhelmed with how complicated everything seems. And you don't know where to start. There's no reason to worry...