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2023-06-13 09:52:00 ET Summary The latest update to the Recession Probability Track shows how it has progressed deeper into a higher probability of recession since our last update a little over six weeks ago. If the Fed follows through on pausing the series of rate hikes it began ...
2023-06-13 05:30:00 ET Summary The annual Russell Reconstitution has caused many small-cap stocks to surge, and institutional buying pressure is anticipated to filter down from the eight largest NASDAQ companies that have been hogging most of the money. Rising crude oil output in ...
2023-06-08 05:30:00 ET Summary Inflation in the United States continues to cool, falling in April 2023 to its lowest level in two years. The long period of sustained low inflation was enabled by globalization, the Internet age, and demographics. U.S. economy is absorbing and r...
2023-06-07 11:40:00 ET Summary Data suggests the US economy is certainly slowing down, but it does not tell us a recession is definitely underway. Recent data has shown a cooling of China’s economic growth, but I believe it’s temporary, and also lopsided. The eur...
2023-06-07 04:00:00 ET Summary We don’t see a high probability of a boom or a bust so long as the Federal Reserve is fighting inflation aggressively. The economy and corporate profits are holding up better than expected. The financial markets aren’t the economy a...
2023-06-07 03:22:56 ET Summary Infrastructure’s focus on cash flows and underlying earnings makes it a prudent investment as economic conditions deteriorate and a recession looms. Dividends from infrastructure assets, unlike most fixed income, act as an inflation hedge due ...
2023-06-06 18:30:00 ET Summary Why employment data is helping to push back the recession scenario. Strong jobs market means rates may not be coming down anytime soon. Why interest rate cuts may not happen until 2024 now. The latest U.S. jobs data showed emplo...
2023-06-06 10:17:00 ET Summary The five most expensive tech companies now make up a record 25.7% of the S&P 500. The tech-centric Nasdaq 100 has risen the most compared to the economically-sensitive Russell 2000 since the stock market peak in March 2000. When rare mania pr...
2023-06-06 09:59:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 reached a new high for 2023, driven mainly by tech mega-caps. A broader rally could continue if economic data remains mixed and the Fed pauses rate hikes. Technical indicators suggest a potential 9% surge in the stock market if a ...
2023-06-06 05:38:00 ET Summary The US economy faces concerns such as Fed tightening, high inflation, tighter bank lending standards, and leading indicators pointing to a potential downturn. The job market remains solid, but some worsening data suggests that its strength may have p...
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2024-07-17 05:37:00 ET Wall Street doesn't always get things right, but Tom Lee from Fundstrat Global Advisors is one analyst with a hot hand right now. He predicted the S&P 500 index would close above 4,750 in 2023, and it ended the year at 4,769. He also entered 2024 with an S&...
2024-07-05 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 06:08:00 ET At the start of 2024, small cap stocks were trading for their lowest price-to-book valuations compared with their large-cap counterparts in a quarter century. And the gap has widened even further, especially as mega-cap tech stocks have continued to outperform. In...