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2023-06-26 20:32:00 ET Summary One factor driving the recession talk is the Federal Reserve's higher interest rate push in an effort to lower the rate of inflation. With the stimulus dollars held in savings, consumers eventually began to get comfortable with spending and have been...
2023-06-26 08:00:00 ET Summary Inflation remains stubbornly high, rate hikes are not over and the long, 40-year downtrend in interest rates is over. The Fed’s rate hikes have impacted housing more than any other sector of the economy, in expected ways and in some unexpected...
2023-06-23 07:30:00 ET Summary The monetary liquidity in the economy still runs very high as a percentage of GDP. Given the massive increase in activity due to a shuttered economy and massive fiscal stimulus, the reversion may take longer than normal. While the economy has cor...
2023-06-22 12:58:00 ET Summary How a recession could impact different asset classes. Why a recovery may be more U shaped than V shaped. Equity markets may not be telling the whole investor sentiment story. The S&P 500 entered bull market territory recentl...
2023-06-22 10:19:41 ET Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF ( NASDAQ: VTWO ) - $0.2348 . Payable Jun 28; for shareholders of record Jun 26; ex-div Jun 23. For further details see: Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF declares quarterly distribution of $0.2348
2023-06-22 03:11:00 ET Summary The new Powell arithmetic: The Fed and the rates market believe that policy is restrictive. But uncertainty remains as the Fed signaled additional hikes and bond markets have priced in a higher probability of additional “insurance” hikes be...
2023-06-20 21:05:00 ET Summary Two weeks in a row, jobless claims have been elevated, affecting the four-week moving average. These indicators have not been as high since late 2021 and early 2022. Economic indicators geared towards manufacturing show a recession in that part of th...
2023-06-20 14:19:00 ET Summary The latest rebound in equity prices has pulled the S&P 500 and Canada’s TSX back to levels seen two years ago in June/July 2021. In the real economy, Canada’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for May contracted 6.3% year-over-year and the...
2023-06-14 07:31:00 ET Summary This year’s equity market rally had been driven by a select few names, dubbed the "Magnificent Seven," overshadowing other industries. June brings a ‘breadth’ of fresh air with small caps and mid-size companies finally joining th...
2023-06-13 09:52:00 ET Summary The latest update to the Recession Probability Track shows how it has progressed deeper into a higher probability of recession since our last update a little over six weeks ago. If the Fed follows through on pausing the series of rate hikes it began ...
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2024-07-17 05:37:00 ET Wall Street doesn't always get things right, but Tom Lee from Fundstrat Global Advisors is one analyst with a hot hand right now. He predicted the S&P 500 index would close above 4,750 in 2023, and it ended the year at 4,769. He also entered 2024 with an S&...
2024-07-05 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 06:08:00 ET At the start of 2024, small cap stocks were trading for their lowest price-to-book valuations compared with their large-cap counterparts in a quarter century. And the gap has widened even further, especially as mega-cap tech stocks have continued to outperform. In...