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2023-12-15 09:25:00 ET Summary Despite indicators suggesting recessionary risks, the financial markets surged roughly 20% to date. The result of the increase in wealth effect has been a sustained improvement in consumer confidence, which supports economic growth. Given the unc...
2023-12-12 11:56:00 ET Summary The probability the U.S. economy will experience an official period of recession sometime in the next twelve months continued to recede during the past six weeks, currently standing at 67%. The probability peaked at 80.8% on 25 July 2023, just before...
2023-12-08 01:12:15 ET Summary Small-cap stocks have performed poorly this year, with the S&P 600 only gaining just over 4% compared to the S&P 500's 20% YTD gain. Small-cap stocks have been impacted by declining earnings, with S&P 600 earnings expected to fall by 14% ...
2023-12-06 22:50:00 ET Summary The US was supposed to be in recession by now, according to numerous forecasts from early in 2023. GDP surged in the third quarter, dealing a body blow to expectations that a downturn was imminent. The latest narrative making the rounds: the weak...
2023-12-02 08:10:00 ET Summary Invesco's 2024 Investment Outlook discusses the balancing act between controlling inflation and preventing economic deterioration. The Federal Reserve is expected to begin cutting interest rates by the end of the first half of 2024. Investors sho...
2023-12-01 08:25:00 ET Summary Wall Street economists predict a "soft landing" or no recession in 2024, despite recessionary indicators suggesting otherwise. The yield curve inversion is a warning sign of a recession, with the un-inversion marking the start of the recession. O...
2023-11-28 23:25:00 ET Summary Through October, the year-to-date performance of U.S. small-mid-cap (SMID) equities, in comparison to large-cap equities, has been abysmal. The underperformance of smaller caps didn’t just start this year. Rather, it has extended for well over...
2023-11-24 02:30:00 ET Summary The economy continues to experience respectable growth, with the advanced report on third quarter GDP showing the economy grew 4.9%. This follows the second quarter GDP growth rate of 2.1%. Also showing favorable results are company earnings reports ...
2023-11-24 00:45:00 ET Summary US small caps are experiencing an autumn stock market rally, but they continue to be heavily impacted by interest rate sentiment. Year to date, the Russell 2000 index has increased by 2.07%. Over the past week, however, the index has grown by 5.41% a...
2023-11-21 20:30:00 ET Summary There was a government-spending-fuelled burst of economic activity in the US during the third quarter of this year that led to a high GDP growth number being reported for the quarter. Continuous Claims bottomed in September 2022, moved higher into Ap...
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2024-07-17 05:37:00 ET Wall Street doesn't always get things right, but Tom Lee from Fundstrat Global Advisors is one analyst with a hot hand right now. He predicted the S&P 500 index would close above 4,750 in 2023, and it ended the year at 4,769. He also entered 2024 with an S&...
2024-07-05 12:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-30 06:08:00 ET At the start of 2024, small cap stocks were trading for their lowest price-to-book valuations compared with their large-cap counterparts in a quarter century. And the gap has widened even further, especially as mega-cap tech stocks have continued to outperform. In...