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2024-02-11 06:59:00 ET Summary The Fed had an FOMC meeting earlier this week, and a lot of people were saying the Fed was hawkish. I would say that the Fed was being more conservative, more cautious. It’s been a mixed bag with big tech, but nonetheless they are hitting thei...
2024-02-08 09:48:00 ET Summary The ISM manufacturing survey has been below 50 for 15 months in a row and sits today at 49.1. This survey, along with a lot of other manufacturing data and anecdotes, has been cited repeatedly by the economic bears as evidence we are heading for rece...
2024-02-08 01:57:00 ET Summary Methodology differences influence the classification of growth stocks. Meta's 2022 plunge and 2023 recovery exemplify style index impact. Structural nuances, like the absence of a momentum variable, shape index behavior. By Catherine ...
2024-02-06 10:51:00 ET Summary The total return of the S&P 500 remains behind Treasury bills since its January 2022 peak more than two years ago. Amid the enthusiasm and now nearly unanimous consensus that recession risk is behind us, I’ll reiterate our own view: the da...
2024-02-04 01:45:00 ET Summary Since early 2022, the FED lifted the federal funds rate by 5.25% to curb inflation, triggering speculation from pundits over the economic impact and future path of rate increases. Recently, the Fed noted that inflation has been tempered by restrictiv...
2024-01-31 02:00:00 ET Summary If the Fed does happen to break something and the economy grinds to a halt, it can respond very quickly. We believe growth of 2.5% is very doable in the 2020s. Healthcare companies are fast becoming data companies. In their first walk o...
2024-01-30 11:20:00 ET Summary With all the talk of soft landing for the US economy in the media in recent weeks, we half expected to find the odds of a recession for the US economy had continued to recede over the past six weeks. After bottoming at 67% in the period from mid-Nove...
2024-01-30 03:20:00 ET Summary In my opinion, the border and the US labor force are paramount political issues in 2024. The current longevity and depth of the yield curve inversion is not atypical of the inversions that have preceded all recessions in the post-war period. The ...
2024-01-26 21:06:00 ET Summary For the perennial recession forecasters, the 3.3% rise in output in Q4 was the latest blow to ongoing warnings that trouble is just around the corner. Last year was yet another master class of showing the power of ensemble models that carefully draw ...
2024-01-25 02:18:00 ET Summary There will be a lot of firsts for the economic history books if this business cycle can survive a labor market slowdown, 525 basis points (bps) of rate hikes and an extremely inverted U.S. Treasury yield curve. But the dovish shift from the U.S. Federal ...
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2024-04-15 16:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-08 07:00:00 ET Vanguard's largest exchange-traded funds (ETFs) -- like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF , Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF , Vanguard Growth ETF , or Vanguard Value ETF -- garner a lot of attention. And for good reason. They are all fine funds worth consid...
2024-03-26 17:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...