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2023-04-20 12:15:09 ET Long-term mortgages inched up this week due to shifting market expectations, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey. 30-year fixed-rate mortgages averaged 6.39% for the week ending April 20, up from last week when they averaged 6.27% and higher t...
2023-04-19 12:30:00 ET Summary Underbuilding has been a common theme of the housing optimists, who think that we have not been building enough. For the nation as a whole, there does seem to have been some underbuilding, but not too much, in the era before the pandemic. Houses ...
2023-04-18 00:30:00 ET Summary Homebuilder sentiment from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) was updated yesterday morning. Homebuilder sentiment’s improvement over the past four months marks the longest streak of monthly increases since another streak lasting...
2023-04-15 02:25:00 ET Summary One of the recurring themes I’ve focused on in recent years is the inherently long nature of a credit bust cycle like the one we’ve been experiencing since 2021. The commercial real estate market is just one piece of a much larger overa...
2023-04-13 12:15:43 ET Mortgage rates decreased for the fifth consecutive week, creating increased optimism among prospective homebuyers, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Survey. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.27% for the week ending April 13, down from last wee...
2023-04-13 02:25:00 ET Summary Exacerbated by the recent banking crisis, sentiment around commercial real estate (CRE) has turned so weak that these assets are almost perceived to be uninvestible. However, the CRE market has been no stranger to distress since the Global Financial ...
2023-04-13 02:23:00 ET Summary The Consumer Price Index for March was marked by plunging energy prices and surging services prices. Core CPI jumped by 5.6% year over year, hotter than the 5.5% increase in the prior month, and the first year-over-year increase since September. ...
2023-04-12 22:30:00 ET Summary Headline inflation is now running at about a 3.5-4% rate, not the 5% rate cited by most news sources today. If Owners' Equivalent Rent continues to moderate, as it almost undoubtedly will, headline inflation will all but vanish in coming months. ...
2023-04-12 13:49:00 ET Summary The rising interest rate environment was already weighing on the outlook for construction activity, but the recent stresses in the US and European banking sectors have added to fears that lenders will increasingly step back. The US looks especially v...
2023-04-12 00:08:00 ET Summary A negative US 10-year minus 3-month yield spread has signalled every incoming recession of the last 60 years. In the real world, global PC shipments were -29% year over year in the first quarter, and the average work week in March’s payroll re...
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2024-06-25 18:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-15 19:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-15 05:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...