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Adobe expects U.S. online holiday sales to rise 2.5% this year to $209.7B. The forecast for the holiday period of November 1 to December 31 may have been higher if not for some sales being pulled forward into October with Amazon ( AMZN ) with holding a second Prime Day event...
Summary Balancing inventory supply and demand is simple in theory, but difficult to execute. Retailers misestimated categories of demand and logistics issues, leading to more late arrivals. The winners will be consumers who take advantage of heavy promotional activity. ...
There could be early warnings sign on holiday sales in the retail sector with logistics managers telling CNBC that significant consumer pullback is showing up in ocean shipping. The logistics managers report that they have seen a 20% drop in ocean freight orders for the months of Se...
Summary A number of advisors have reported higher than normal inventories as an additional sign of pending recession. The data does not support this perception. Business Inventory/Sales…and Retail Sales vs. Trucking… reveal a considerable deficit exists in business I...
Summary XRT invests in retail stocks. The fund is likely undervalued on an intrinsic earnings power basis. However, the macro and market environment is not currently conducive with retail sector out-performance within the U.S. equity space. I would remain neutral on XRT at...
Summary The consensus expectation on Tuesday for August CPI was for a 0.1% decline, but the positive +0.1% monthly gain in the CPI shocked Wall Street. This inflation news spooked Treasury bond yields, pushing 10-year yields up from 3.36% on Monday to 3.42% on Tuesday. Now tha...
Summary I suggested caution back when August began. That was the right move in hindsight (for a while). Then markets began to rise again, then suffered some ugly moves this week. The moves higher were not entirely unjustified. There is good news to be found, if you know where to l...
Summary From a year ago, retail sales are up 9.2 percent and remain well above the pre-pandemic trend. Real core retail sales posted a 0.3 percent decline in August after declining less than 0.1 percent in July. Overall, nominal total and core retail sales remain well above tr...
Summary AIER’s Leading Indicators Index held at a cycle low of 29 in August, matching the lowest level since August 2020. The Consumer Confidence Index from The Conference Board rose in August, the first increase following three consecutive monthly declines. The final A...
Summary Retail stocks have seen big swings so far this earnings season. The Gap reports its Q2 results Thursday night, and the options market expects a big move. The company's fundamentals are highly uncertain but the chart suggests an earnings-pop could happen. I spot key...
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2024-07-08 11:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-28 12:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-09 06:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...