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Summary What's next for the bond market after Fed Powell's speech? Is the Fed pivot away for higher rates off the table? Outlook on inflation in Canada and the U.S. Stock markets tumbled following Fed Chainman Powell’s hawkish stance on rate rises. Gre...
Summary Global securities finance revenues reached $6.1bn in the first half of 2022, an increase of 12% YoY. Global ETP lending revenues were $453mn for H1, continuing to set new all-time highs, representing a 48% YoY increase. 2022 is off to an impressive start for Securities...
What are the odds of a recession? What are the risks that inflation will stay elevated? How are housing markets evolving in a rising rate environment? From the risk of a recession, to the stickiness of inflation, to the prospects for the housing market, TD Econom...
Even if inflation slows, the Fed is unlikely to step off the rate hike gas. Why it's time to beware of the bear market rally. Inflation or slowing growth, which is the bigger risk? Equity markets have been climbing their way back from the lows reached in June. Th...
While the interest rate-sensitive housing sector may still feel the squeeze, we note that activity is at historically strong levels. Existing home sales have come off a bit more. They are expected to have fallen for the sixth consecutive month in July. While the housing market is ...
Why U.S. GDP data may not be painting an accurate picture of the economy. There is a growing divide between Gross Domestic Product and Gross Domestic Income. Is worrying about a recession making a slowdown more likely? There has been extensive speculation about t...
The average sale price for a Toronto home in July was $1.02 million (Toronto Regional Real Estate Board), down $133,075 (11.5%) from June 2022 and +0.2 percent or $2,520 compared to July 2021. Sales were down 44%, and active listings were up 25%, while the stockpile of available homes...
With so much negativity baked in, it may have been inevitable that markets would rebound. The strong U.S. jobs numbers highlight the challenges in reading the economy. As the Fed hikes rates, it's not just slowing the economy, it's building back its credibility. ...
Why European countries like Germany may be facing a natural gas crisis this coming winter. Europe's natural gas crunch as countries rethinking their production strategies. Supply worries are changing the global natural gas landscape. The price of natural gas coul...
The tech-heavy Nasdaq had rallied 19% since June 16 and remained -21% since November. The widely-benchmarked S&P 500 was +10% from June and -13% from its January 3rd peak. Central banks are tightening, and the macro backdrop is deteriorating at an accelerating pace. ...