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The focus shifts in the week ahead away from central banks directly and toward the macro data at the start of the year. The US real sector data in the week ahead includes January retail sales and industrial production. Several other major countries report January inflation figures...
Inflation and interest rates have been at the forefront of investors’ minds so far this year and that’s unlikely to change for some time yet. Earnings season provided a welcome and timely distraction and enabled markets to find some stability but as we saw towards the en...
Just as global economic growth slowed to an 18-month low at the start of 2022 amid rising COVID-19 infection rates, price pressures intensified. Rising inflation is also broad-based geographically. Growth will likely accelerate again globally once the worst of the Omicron wave pas...
The BoE not only raised rates following a December rate hike but also made clear that it strongly considered being even more aggressive. Tighter monetary policy can’t reduce the energy price cap or the tax increase. The BoE clearly hopes that hiking now will prevent an infl...
Stocks and bonds sold off in January as markets repriced for a more aggressive pace of central bank tightening and increased pressures on the global earnings recovery. Tech and other pricey high-growth stocks tend to underperform in periods of rising interest rates. Value returns ...
Markets had expected the BoE's bank rate hike, but they were caught a bit off guard by a surprising pivot by the ECB, widely seen as the most dovish of major central banks in wanting to hold off talk of any rate hikes until after 2022. ECB president Christine Lagarde noted that inflat...
The global central bank community has been wrong on inflation. Euro zone inflation rose to a new record high last month, defying expectations for a big drop and piling pressure on the European Central Bank to finally admit that price growth is not as temporary and benign as it has lon...
It’s been an incredible couple of weeks in the markets, one in which we’ve seen another hawkish move from multiple central banks, big swings in stocks on the back of earnings, and tensions around Ukraine intensify. Traders will be paying very close attention to incoming ...
Pressure is growing on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates as eurozone inflation hit a record 5.1% in January, topping estimates by the most in two decades. Until now, the ECB has lagged other central banks in responding to escalating price pressures, and has said it wouldn't in...
The stock market has been like a rocket ship over the last three years, advancing +90% as measured by the S&P 500 index, and +136% for the NASDAQ. The recent stock market volatility is reinforcing the idea that the Federal Reserve’s more aggressive stance regarding hiking i...