EWMC News and Press, Invesco S&P MidCap 400 Equal Weight From 03/02/23

Summary For the month of February, the S&P 500 Total Return Index ended down -2.4%. What disrupted the January rally? During the month, we received some affirming data that the economy may be on firmer footing than economists previously thought. But markets are worried that such str...

Summary The National Bureau of Economic Research takes time to define periods of economic expansion and contraction - and they do so in hindsight; equity markets are not trading based on these characterizations. The low degree of difference between the S&P 500 Index and the WisdomTr...

Summary Higher inflation and higher interest rates remain a headwind. International stock market indices are doing better than major U.S. stock market indices. There is a case for the continuation of the downtrend or a new uptrend. In this article we will review economic d...

Summary When the market peaked in January 2022, everyone was exceedingly bullish, and no one was looking for a 20% decline. Retail investors have sharply increased their equity allocations over the last couple of months, dropping their cash holdings sharply. From a contrarian viewpo...

Summary AIER’s Everyday Price rose 0.93 percent in January, following a decline of 1.3 percent in December 2022. On Friday, February 10, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics updated the weights of the consumer price index constituents to reflect changes in consumption activity. ...

Summary Inflation was hot in January. This is putting the Fed on a path to raise rates well above 5% in 2023. The equity market appears to have wrong on disinflation. To no surprise, CPI proved to be hot in January on a month-over-month basis, rising by 0.5%, in line with expe...

Summary While the rest of America was gearing up for the Super Bowl Sunday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics revised Q4 inflation numbers higher on Friday. This is actually huge news. Preprogrammed algos bought billions in stock off of November and December CPI off of faulty assumptio...

Summary Has recent strong data changed the fundamental economic and market outlook, or just the timeline? A stronger January than December should not come as a surprise, given the diminished China- and energy-related headwinds the global economy now faces. We also know that monetary...

Summary The S&P 500 is just too expensive at this level. It will be brought to heal by rising rates and lower earnings. A long-short strategy along with hedging the indexes and maintaining a cash management discipline creates the right configuration for trading success. ...

Summary A week of rest and consolidation has set up volatility next week as key data will be released. "Higher for longer" rate expectations are gaining traction but would be discouraged by a disinflationary CPI report. Key technical levels to watch in the S&P 500 in the week ah...