HUSV News and Press, First Trust Exchange-Traded Fund III Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic From 07/10/24

2024-07-10 03:50:00 ET Summary In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) divided by the US$ gold price) to define booms...

2024-07-09 11:00:00 ET Summary Recession risk has risen, but it’s still premature to confidently declare that a downturn has started. Conditions could deteriorate in the weeks ahead, but for the moment, slow/sluggish growth appears to be the odds-on favorite for the near-te...

2024-07-05 13:35:00 ET Summary The U-3 unemployment rate increased to 4.1 percent in June 2024. The Sahm Rule, developed by former Fed economist Claudia Sahm, is designed to identify the start of a recession using changes in the total unemployment rate. If the labor force grow...

2024-06-28 10:30:00 ET Summary U.S. stocks held onto gains in the second quarter, even as concerns over stubborn inflation, strong economic data and reduced expectations for Fed rate cuts sprinkled cold water on the Q1 hot streak. Macro factors still hold sway over daily moves at ...

2024-06-28 09:15:00 ET Summary Longer-term government bonds, corporate bonds, and stocks have historically returned more than cash. One of the risks of short-term investing is not being able to reinvest the money at the same rate. Reinvestment risk is among the biggest challen...

2024-06-27 09:20:22 ET More on First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF Dividend scorecard for First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Domestic ETF Read the full ar...

2024-06-25 14:50:00 ET Summary The US 10-2yr Treasury yield curve has been inverted (two-year yields higher than ten-year) for 23 months since July 2022. An inversion in this spread has preceded the onset of every recession in the last 50 years by an average of 10 months. Mark...

2024-06-20 00:20:00 ET Summary Last month, for instance, government employment was up 2.7 percent, year over year, while private employment was up on 1.6 percent. Growth in government jobs has been outpacing private employment (year over year) for the past fourteen months. The...

2024-06-12 03:50:00 ET Summary One of the persistent themes in recent years has been the high and increasing concentration in US stocks. The outperformance of US stocks has been driven almost entirely by large cap US tech names and the “Magnificent 7”. This isn&#...

2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...