TLT News and Press, iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF From 06/14/24

2024-06-14 23:00:00 ET Summary Recent focus has centered on the Federal Open Market Committee’s dot plot, which now suggests just one rate cut in 2024. A closer examination reveals the committee is divided, with more participants (8 out of 19) anticipating two rate cuts thi...

2024-06-14 21:20:00 ET Summary The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the benchmark policy rate at 5.25%-5.50% at its June meeting for the seventh consecutive meeting. More significantly, the latest dot plot revealed that the FOMC’s median projection has removed two ...

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2024-06-14 09:45:00 ET Summary One softer-than-expected monthly inflation reading didn’t stop Federal Reserve officials from delaying the expected start of interest rate cuts. After these surprisingly firm core PCE readings earlier this year, Fed officials confirmed that th...

2024-06-14 07:50:00 ET Summary While interest rates fell during the Depression, economic growth and inflationary pressures remained robust. Rising debt levels, increased deficits, productivity, and wage suppression erode economic growth, not support it. Even if Grant is correc...

2024-06-14 06:30:00 ET Summary The Fed should cut rates. July would be the right time to start, in my opinion. There are numerous signs that cutting could be appropriate - rising unemployment, rising claims, falling hourly earnings and core PCE that is likely to be at 2.55% in May...

2024-06-14 04:50:00 ET Summary The Federal Government publishes the spending and revenue numbers on a monthly basis. This was the second-largest May ever, only behind May 2020 during the very depths of the pandemic. On average, May experiences a deficit of -$127B, which makes ...

2024-06-14 02:20:37 ET Summary The Fed announced that rates will stay at 5.5% for now, with only one cut between now and 2025. This is based off of macroeconomic data and trends, which I cover in this article. The Fed's game plan looks to be on track, and a soft landing is hap...

2024-06-13 12:40:00 ET Summary Data can look good or bad, depending on the time frame, (i.e. monthly, 3-month annualized, 6-month annualized, year-over-year) so look across various frames. As technical analysts have stated over the years, “price is everything”, meani...

2024-06-13 12:25:00 ET Summary The Fed forecasts the US unemployment rate to rise to 4.2% in 2025, 80 bps above the 3.4% cycle low in 2022. The Fed is incongruently predicting US GDP growth of 2% in 2025. Market cycles tend to be hard on those who lack attention or understandi...