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Summary GMI is expected to earn a 5.5% annualized total return in the long run - slightly above the benchmark’s trailing 5.3% performance for the past decade. Looking at the individual components that comprise GMI signals even stronger expectations, with one glaring example...
Summary Short-term Treasury bills posted an essentially flat performance in September. Year to date, only cash and commodities are posting gains. GMI trailing 20% one-year loss continues to exceed the declines for US stocks and bonds. The major asset classes suffered...
Summary The Fed’s goal is to inflict quick, near-term pain on the economy in exchange for long-term price stability and future economic gains. When it comes to inflation, the good news is that it appears to be peaking, and many economists see the declining inflation trend c...
Summary Significant drops in price this year have erased years of built-up gains, and now a lot of areas of global financial markets are looking at double-digit percentage declines going back to the late 2010s. The major US index ETFs are sitting on 20%+ declines in 2022, but they...
Summary YTD, the S&P 500 is now down 24% while bonds have their own double-digit losses. Like stock valuations, currency valuations aren’t great timing tools but over a 3-year period after becoming undervalued, the outperformance is strong. Consumer defensive stocks...
Summary A rational extraction of market expectations from the US Treasury yield history since 1962 shows an upward shift this week. Both forward rates and expected future yield levels are up from last week, with the expected range for 3-month Treasuries in 10 years up to 1% to 2%....
Summary The Vanguard Total World Bond ETF (BNDW) invests to track the Bloomberg Global Aggregate Float Adjusted Composite Index, an investment-grade bond index. BNDW could be a Core holding as it simplifies exposure to investment-grade bonds, not only in the US, but internationall...
Summary 2022 has been the worst year for bonds since 1976. Bonds are an attractive place to be. Investors can look to allocate across fixed income depending on their individual risk appetite. What the markets are looking at now is the pressure on corporate profitability. ...
Summary The Federal Reserve has changed its angle of attack quite dramatically, in an attempt to battle surprisingly and stubbornly high inflation. The challenge will be to continue making progress on the inflation front without sending the labor market into a nosedive. The mo...
Summary The Federal Reserve’s 75 basis point increase resulted in a yield curve twist, with shorter term Treasury yields shifting up and longer term yields moving down. The forward 1-month U.S. Treasury yield now peaks at 4.68%, down 21 basis points from last week. This...
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...