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Summary HTD is a strong consideration for longer-term investors, despite the fund trading at a very shallow discount. The fund has the most exposure to equity utilities, but energy exposure in this fund also helped it through 2022. Besides their equity exposure, HTD carries a signif...
Summary Interest rates have risen sharply over the past year due to the Fed's efforts to crush inflation. We bought the 2022 dip in debt and preferred equity hand-over-fist. However, we mostly skipped over high yield bonds and preferreds and took an even more advantageous approach. ...
Summary Inflation is increasingly coming down the other side of the mountain. The benefit to stocks will likely take some time. The sustained rebound in bonds may already be underway. We have begun the descent down the other side of the mountain. The long-dormant inflation...
Summary Investors in BND got a painful lesson in how bond funds work in 2022. We review the reasons for their dramatic losses. The rates of longer maturity bonds rates have finally started to drop over the past few weeks, which has made many investors believe rate increases are ending s...
Summary In earlier articles, I made recommendations for ETFs and mutual funds that one should consider given the unusual combination of conditions we don't often see. How successful were these recommendations made under very high inflation, the Growth fund collapse, steeply rising Fed f...
Summary The 1-month forward U.S. Treasury yields currently show twin peaks down 0.24% in the short term and down 0.14% over the longer term. Friday’s implied forward rate curve shows a quick rise in 1-month rates to an initial peak of 4.80%, versus 5.04% last week. The negati...
Summary Trading activity on the Tradeweb European ETF marketplace reached EUR 47.8 billion in December, while the proportion of transactions processed via Tradeweb’s Automated Intelligent Execution (AiEX) tool was 80%. Total consolidated U.S. ETF notional value traded in December...
Summary Market divergence between bulls and bears in 2023. Are markets listening to what central banks are saying about interest rates? Why perception may be worse than reality when it comes to market sentiment. There appear to be widely differing views on what 202...
Summary Billionaire Elon Musk recently asserted that we are already in a deflationary environment. He also said that the Federal Reserve may very well drive the economy off a cliff due to the fact that it is using outdated data to set interest rates. We share our approach to the cur...
Summary The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 133 trading days, currently at a negative 79 basis points. This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 1% to 2%. This weekȁ...
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...