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The ideal way to deal with a recession and accompanying bear market is to be prepared for it; once a recession is underway, your options are limited. Don't panic and compromise your health. The best option is often to do nothing. Take long walks and catch up on your reading. Overw...
In the aftermath of the Fed’s rate hike last week, Treasury yields settled in at a lower level, with the peak in 1-month forward rates down 0.11% for the week. The probability of an inverted yield remains high, peaking at 47.4%, compared to 52.5% last week, in the 91-day quarte...
Success in investing over the long term isn’t just about picking winners. By adopting a balanced diversified approach, your portfolio stands a better chance of achieving a stable return over time. In a rapid rising environment for equity markets, we expect fixed income to u...
The Fed’s 75 basis point rate hike last week was not exactly shock and awe, as intermediate term yields reacted but the 10-year outlook barely budged. 1-month forward rates peak at 4.59%, compared to 4.31% previously, and then decline to a lower plateau at the end of the 30-yea...
Markets suffered a clean sweep of losses last week. Tightening monetary policy at a time of slowing economic growth is raising fears that a US recession is lurking. Commodities remain the only slice of the major asset classes posting a gain for the trailing one-year period. ...
IEF has been paying consistent monthly dividends for the past 20 years, and during the past decade, average yield ranged mostly between 1 and 2 percent. IEF’s price has dropped by 14 percent since 1st March, breached 10 years’ bottom price and may fall further. IEF...
On Monday (June 13), the US stock market fell again, closing over 20% below its all-time high that is commonly used to define a bear market. Better starting yields and diversification benefits, especially in recessions, are key reasons to own bonds for the short- and long-term. Ou...
The trend has turned ugly, at least for the usual suspects in the land of asset classes. The red-hot reflation/inflation trend continues to show no signs of slowing, much less reversing, via TIP/IEF. Meanwhile, the risk-off bias for renewable energy stocks persists. For furt...
When money is virtually free for borrowers and near-nil yielding for investors, many people do dumb stuff with money. But when rates rise sharply, the riskiest bets blow up, and investors get reminded that capital options are far from equal. Return of principal matters most in the...
The gap between the 10-year Treasury yield and 2-year Treasury yield narrowed this week to a positive 9 basis points. This week's simulation of future Treasury yields shows that the probability of an inverted yield curve by year end 2022 jumped 18 percentage points this week to 54.9%....
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2024-07-10 03:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-20 05:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-10 06:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...