Previous 10 | Next 10 |
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has created significant uncertainty for the cycle outlook. The global economy was on track for strongly above-trend growth in 2022. The war in Ukraine will likely have a negative impact on growth and cause higher inflation this year, with Europe tak...
We’ve noted over the past two months that the pace of US economic activity is set to slow markedly during the first half of this year. Note that a sign of the downward pressure on economic activity resulting from high inflation is the decline in ‘real’ wages. ...
This post attempts to put the dollar and commodity prices in some long-term perspective. What stands out the most is that the dollar is relatively strong vis a vis most other currencies, but commodity prices are also very strong. It's also not hard to argue that the current surge ...
Almost every commodity rose in prices last week, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession in the coming year has risen significantly in just the last week. There was considerable volatility in stocks last week,...
Global markets are in turmoil as the Russian invasion of Ukraine triggers nuclear fears. Inflation fears are also being triggered. Oil futures are now trading at over $110 per barrel, but that’s not the only thing surging. Grains and other agricultural commodities skyrocketed b...
I don't pretend to know how the Russia/Ukraine war will play out, but I can shed some light on how it has impacted the U.S. and Eurozone economies. Limiting Russia's ability to use the SWIFT payment system is a big factor reducing liquidity overseas. Whenever the market gets very ...
Oil, natural gas, wheat, corn, palladium, aluminum and nickel are all trading higher, including gold. Geopolitical risk is an inherently difficult thing to quantify. Gold price behavior in 2021 was disappointing, with the backdrop of an elevated level of inflation. For furth...
Gold began its rally on January 28. The Fed historically doesn’t like to hike rates into geopolitical tensions. Despite Gold’s fall, it still managed to close above the pivotal 1920 level. For further details see: Powell Caps The Rally In Gold
Although I am working with obviously incomplete and biased information, I view the possibility of the cessation of hostilities within a few weeks to be unlikely. The sanctions, war disruptions, and a Western private sector that is cutting ties to Russia means that we are facing an ext...
War in Ukraine has fanned the flames of the metals market which was already stretched. There is still significant uncertainty and confusion around the various sanctions on Russia. If there is no quick de-escalation, upside risks will dominate especially for those with larger expos...
News, Short Squeeze, Breakout and More Instantly...
Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund Company Name:
DBP Stock Symbol:
NYSE Market:
Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund Website:
2024-07-08 17:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-28 09:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-18 14:38:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...