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David Beckworth: Martin, welcome to the show. Martin Hellwig: Well, thank you for having me. Beckworth: I'm glad to have you on. We are in two very different time zones. So I really appreciate you taking time in the evening to join me here in the morning. This is one of the beaut...
By David Zahn, CFA, FRM, Head of European Fixed Income, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income As European economies slowly start to come out of coronavirus lockdowns, it could be some time before growth returns to pre-crisis levels, according to David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income. He...
Investment thesis: The international markets are still in a difficult situation but things are moving in the right direction. The China long ( FXI ) and Brazil short ( EWZ ) trades are still attractive. Chinese data is improving and tensions with the US are giving way to a bilateral pragmatism...
By Darren Williams The coronavirus has exposed the European Union's (EU's) fault lines. For now, European Central Bank ((ECB)) bond purchases should hold things together. But ultimately, national governments will need to make some tough decisions to secure the EU's future. The EU's inter...
Money creation always does lead to inflation One claim that has been put forward about quantitative easing is that it will inevitably create inflation. To which the usual response is that it's been a decade so far and there's no sign of it, so what's the problem? The correct answer here is...
Investment thesis: International news is still mostly bad. The latest EU PMI data shows a service sector crash. Data from Japan also shows weakness, as do the latest South Korean releases. On the plus side, China was modestly higher this week but it's still too early to think about taking a ...
Investment thesis: all markets are still far too volatile. Make no new investments. Cash is king right now. There has been a wave of intense central-bank activities over the last week in response to the coronavirus outbreak - too many to list. Here are some of the larger and more important...
By David Zahn, CFA, FRM, Head of European Fixed Income, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income This week, both the European Central Bank and Bank of England took further measures to help contain the financial fallout from the coronavirus and alleviate pressure on strained public finances. David ...
We previously urged investors to remain largely in cash, as the investment landscape is a minefield with nobody having a map of the terrain. Cash is king at the moment, as investors will have to ponder what things can go badly wrong. We think there are numerous things that can go wrong: ...
By Antoine Bouvet, Senior Rates Strategist Gyrations in government bond markets in recent days have caught investors’ attention. We recap the drivers behind the reversal in interest rates and attempt to pin a fair value tail on the Bund donkey. We see higher yields as a distinc...