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As I stare across the Pond, I am troubled by what I see. In my opinion, the situation in the EU is deteriorating. The governments there, of course, will tell you that everything is just fine and it is all a case of some minor squabbles. I am not buying this concept and I am becoming increasing...
By David Zahn, CFA, Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group Against the odds, Boris Johnson's UK government appears to have agreed to a deal in principle with the European Union ((EU)), which could see the United Kingdom leave the EU on ...
By Roberto Silvestri Since the formation of a new government led by Prime Minister Boris Johnson in Westminster, the likelihood of a no-deal exit of the United Kingdom from the EU on October 31 seems to have risen exponentially. Hence, the EU is accelerating its preparation for this scenar...
September 30, 2019 - As long as the German economy was doing well, as it was during the recovery from the 2008 global financial crisis, there existed a coherent rationale for German fiscal austerity. The national commitment to budget discipline was enshrined in the 2009 "debt brake," which l...
By Blu Putnam October may well see the opening of a new front in the U.S.-initiated trade wars, with Europe being the target this time. Indeed, in preparation for launching tariffs aimed at Europe, the new mantra in official Washington seems to be that on many trade issues Europe is worse ...
By Andrew Mulliner, CFA Andrew Mulliner, CFA, a Global Bonds Portfolio Manager, reflects on the European Central Bank’s decision to cut rates and bring back quantitative easing. Expectations were high coming into the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday in spite o...
We identified geopolitical risk as the key market driver in the second half of 2019 in our midyear investment outlook . The UK is the latest example, where deep divisions over a potential Brexit have unsettled the political landscape, paving the way for a broader set of potential outcomes...
Scanning the global markets for value always makes me stop in Europe. Using the S&P 500 ([[SPY]]) as our reference, we get a P/E ratio of 20.84, a P/BV of 3.27, and a distribution yield of 1.56%. Table 1 - Portfolio characteristics of the S&P 500 ETF (Source: iShares ) Now, lo...
I am getting prepared, you see. September is just around the corner and it will be the last European Central Bank meeting presided over by Mario Draghi, the Superman of Europe. My sense is that it is going to be one last, "Whatever it takes," as virtually all of the economies of Europe are hav...
The European Economies It's not really valid to talk of a European economy, that being exactly the problem there is with the euro. Having the one currency means that monetary conditions must be the same across those different European economies. An example of this is that the UK economy seem...