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Summary International institutions, including the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the OECD, have all warned of a downturn in the global economy commencing in the fourth quarter of last year and continuing in the early months of 2023. The fourth quarter of 2022 was indee...
Summary Sharp declines in private sector borrowing in December show that the ECB's sharp interest rate rises are starting to have the desired effect. In an already weak economy, this is another dampening effect for 2023 growth, but don’t expect it to be enough to sway next week...
Summary Despite a huge energy shock in the economy, production has held up well. There are no miracles here, though. Currently, the post-pandemic catch-up has simply outweighed the negative impact of higher energy prices. By Bert Colijn & Carsten Brzeski ...
Summary When the ECB meets next week, all eyes and ears will once again be on the communication. A rate hike of 50bp looks like a done deal. How far and how fast the ECB will go from there is still unclear. By Carsten Brzeski Recent economic data in the eurozon...
Summary After a 3.0% expansion in 2022, world real GDP is now projected to increase 1.9% in 2023, up from last month's forecast of 1.6% growth. Monetary tightening, cooling demand, and supply chain resilience are driving disinflation. Declines in industrial commodity prices are now movi...
Summary In recent weeks, evidence has mounted that the eurozone economy is proving resilient in the face of large shocks from higher energy prices and tighter financial conditions. While our expectation has been that a recession would be mild in Europe, recent data implies we may avoid ...
Summary A steadying of the eurozone economy at the start of the year adds to evidence that the region might escape recession. The marginal return to growth of output across the eurozone as a whole was accompanied by a sharp improvement in optimism about the year ahead. The easing of...
Summary Americas equities, ETPs, corporate bonds, and government bonds all outperformed when compared with previous six-month periods. Corporate bonds continued their impressive run throughout the second half of 2022 increasing revenues over each quarter. 2022 was an outstanding yea...
Summary For several months, we have said that a slowing of inflation could provide a temporary tailwind to equity markets, but that weakening growth will eventually hit them with a stronger headwind. Tumbling PPI suggests that companies are starting to struggle to pass on rising costs. ...
Summary Everyone wants to buy bonds right now because everyone knows the US is headed for recession. But neither the 10-year, the 2-year or shorter-term yields are currently falling at a pace that we would expect just prior to recession. If we go into recession you’ll make mo...
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2024-04-21 10:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-11 12:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 14:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...