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Expectations of tighter Fed policy and increased demand for safe-haven assets have pushed the U.S. dollar to multi-month highs. As central banks prepare to fight inflation, the U.S. dollar remains unchallenged against the euro and yen. Euro area inflation is now over 7%, yet the E...
During the last Fed rate raising cycle, it took the Federal Reserve five years to raise the fed funds rate to 2.50%. The Fed kept rates far too low for far too long and now we are dealing with the consequences. Both fiscal and monetary policy have been highly inflationary, and we are ...
The major markets’ technical review will help readers understand the underlying technical conditions for potential opportunities and risk management. This helps refine not only decision making about what to own and when but what to overweight or underweight to achieve better pe...
Friday, the market woke up to think about the realities of a recession suddenly staring back at them from the mirror. That ugly truth will remain in front of them, regardless of what the Fed does. It took no change in the news at all to completely knock the exuberant market down i...
The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...
We don’t see a wage-price spiral. Companies are actually paying less in labor per unit of output, we find. We think wages can rise more without adding to inflation. The S&P 500 plunged to new 2022 lows last week. We remain overweight equities in the inflationary backdrop bu...
The phenomenal rise in the US monetary inflation rate from early-2020 to early-2021 set in motion an economic boom. Over the past few decades, a boom-to-bust transition for the US economy didn’t begin until after the monetary inflation rate (the year-over-year True Money Supply...
We continue to believe that ICSH is one of the better places to park cash to get some return without taking much risk. Unfortunately it has recently delivered negative total returns due to the quick rise in interest rate expectations, but going forward we believe it can return to deli...
On Thursday morning, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that first quarter GDP fell by 1.4 percent (on a quarter-to-quarter, annualized basis). Two consecutive quarters of negative growth may be all that’s required for a group of boffins at the National Bureau of Economic...
With the Federal Reserve embarking on an interest rate hiking cycle to counteract realized inflation, there’re concerns about consumers - particularly those with lower incomes. The Fed characterizes incomes differently, but the data shows that consumer balance sheets coming out...
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2024-06-22 02:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 11:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 03:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...