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The Fed has hiked 50bp and is formally starting quantitative tightening as it seeks to get a grip on inflation. The Fed acknowledges that "ongoing increases" will be required with Chair Jay Powell giving the green light to a series of 50bp+ rate hikes. We look for a 3.25% peak giv...
In March, the personal consumption and expenditures index registered an astonishing 6.59% year-over-year increase. Core PCE can be broadly decomposed into 65 Goods and 144 Service categories. As of March, the Above Trend categories are contributing ~3.25% to Core PCE, At Trend is ...
Fed hikes key interest rate by 50 basis points as expected. Colbourne: Fed comments appeared slightly dovish despite the risks of inflation. Colbourne: We are concerned about the trajectory of inflation and if it stays sticky and doesn't come down. For further details see: ...
In a somewhat anti-climactic fashion, the Fed delivered not only on their widely anticipated 50 basis point rate hike, but also announced their plans for quantitative tightening at the May FOMC meeting. Certainly, based on the Fed’s rhetoric, another half-point rate hike a...
The map of the Asset Allocation Committee’s market views is a buzz of activity this quarter. Coming into 2022, we anticipated slower growth compared with the steep recovery levels of 2021 and inflation that was declining but persistent—and problematic due to its origins ...
Why rising rates may be problematic for U.S. banks. Where to find value in U.S. banks. Why the road ahead for U.S. banks may be challenging. For further details see: Rising Rates And U.S. Banks: Friend Or Foe?
Rather than care much about the Fed vs. ECB, maybe a better question to ask is this: why is the 4-week Treasury bill sitting there on May 2 yielding only 41 bps? It’s true the Fed is hiking rates more aggressively than the ECB in 2022, but not all rates are rising all that fast...
We argue that the Fed has to deliver on hawkish expectations by hiking by 50bp today and announcing balance sheet reduction. This urgency has also pushed EUR rates up, despite the increasing likelihood of stagflation in Europe. This could flatten the curve and push peripheral spre...
The Miller Income Strategy returned -10.08% for Q1 2022. As of the middle of April, the market is telling us the economy is still strong, though the rate of growth is now slowing due to overheating and inflation. Red-hot inflation now looks like it is weighing on growth. There...
Expectations of tighter Fed policy and increased demand for safe-haven assets have pushed the U.S. dollar to multi-month highs. As central banks prepare to fight inflation, the U.S. dollar remains unchallenged against the euro and yen. Euro area inflation is now over 7%, yet the E...
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2024-06-22 02:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-31 11:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 03:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...