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2024-05-07 08:50:00 ET Summary Chinese equities have rebounded, reversing the negative returns recorded in the first quarter. Investor expectations for US interest rate cuts have reset. The Commodities Research Bureau Index of commodity prices rose 7.4% year-to-date through th...
2024-05-06 09:35:00 ET Summary The IMF upgraded US growth forecasts for 2024 by +0.6% of GDP, and Chinese PMIs are back to expansion. There aren’t any bad EM stories right now, with almost all of the typical problem cases in EM making meaningful policy adjustments. The ...
2024-05-06 08:00:00 ET Summary The dollar is mostly a little softer today in thin market conditions, with Tokyo, Seoul, and London closed for holidays. Equities are off to a constructive start this week after the strong US rally before the weekend. Most markets in the region a...
2024-04-30 06:45:00 ET Summary The manufacturing PMI came in broadly in line with our expectations, and new orders remaining in expansion is a positive sign for further industrial activity recovery. Employment was little changed but remained in contraction for the 14th consecutive...
2024-04-25 08:00:00 ET Summary As the Magnificent Seven falter, what could that mean for broader markets? As the rally in tech stocks run its course? Why the U.S. and Canada are on different paths when it comes to rates. ... Read the full article on Seeking...
2024-04-24 12:30:00 ET Summary Last week brought hawkish remarks from a cast of Federal Open Market Committee members. I still believe a US rate cut in June and a total of three cuts for the year are very real possibilities, but markets need to see more data. Prices for West T...
2024-04-22 15:30:00 ET Summary The global economy is now back on a growth trajectory, but there is a potential fiscal crisis to watch for in 2025. US Treasury Credit Default Swaps Show Elevated Deficit Concerns. Global growth should make you rethink your commodity allocation a...
2024-04-22 13:25:00 ET Summary Current data, alongside several longstanding global shifts, reveal that the global economy is transitioning. The global economy may be shifting from a low inflationary paradigm driven by disinflationary forces to an inflationary paradigm. Investo...
2024-04-20 05:05:59 ET Summary We can assume that global carry trades have mushroomed over recent years to the Trillions, with speculative leverage seductively bolstering liquidity and asset prices virtually everywhere. Losses are mounting throughout Asian currency markets. Ch...
2024-04-19 07:45:00 ET Summary This year started on a strong note, with global equity markets gaining 8.9%. With better-than-expected economic data being published in the U.S., but also in Europe and China, market confidence grew, leading to a regional broadening of the bull marke...