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Summary China’s inflection point began with the easing of access to credit in the property sector in October 2022. If the International Monetary Fund’s forecasts for resilient EM economic growth in 2023 prove to be correct, this should have a positive effect on revenue tre...
Summary Amid the crosscurrents, two themes have prevailed during the post-pandemic years, which lend some perspective to the macroeconomic roadmap ahead: namely, the bipolar swings in macro policy and the forces of economic normalization. After one of the worst years for fixed income as...
Summary Expectations surrounding central bank policy, China’s gradual reopening and a lower US dollar are key to investor sentiment in the final stretch of 2022. Central banks have increased interest rates at the fastest rate on record, and there are signs that higher yields are ...
Summary China is the world’s second-largest economy and the biggest crude importer. Earlier in 2022, crude oil was in backwardation. Beware of political risks in both Russia and China in the coming months. By Blu Putnam In November, the powerful influence of...
Summary After a difficult 2022, cautious optimism may be in order. Here are our thoughts on market risks and opportunities heading into 2023. Through 2022, the market repriced for bad news — the Russian invasion of Ukraine, supply chain woes, stickier headline inflation and...
Summary There are two meetings going on today - the G20 major economies meeting on the Indonesian island of Bali today and tomorrow (November 15 and 16), and the COP27, which focuses on climate change, running November 7-18 in Egypt. Crude oil prices initially rose early last week...
Summary U.S. midterm elections: Win, lose or draw for markets? What sectors may benefit from a divided government. Will equity markets get the post midterm election bump? For further details see: U.S. Midterm Elections: Win, Lose Or Draw For Markets? ...
Summary After a round of soft inflation data triggered a buy-everything relief rally, Wall Street will focus on Fed speak and a plethora of data points that might show the economy remains resilient. It’s a relatively quiet week for the EU with the two standout economic rele...
Summary For the sixth year in a row, FTSE Russell asked global asset owners for their views and practices across a range of sustainable finance issues: 184 participated, and represent up to £3 trillion in AUM in assets. Mitigating long-term investment risk was given as the le...
Summary Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, which account for 23% of global maize production, are experiencing substantial losses because of climate-related issues. Latin America is likely to resist any attempts to implement land distribution controls. Like their Latin American cou...