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As inflation raged, central banks accelerated the pace of monetary policy tightening, aiming to slow the growth of aggregate demand and calm price pressures. In response to persistently high inflation and an upward drift in long-run inflation expectations, central banks are accelerati...
Concerns about stagflation have emerged because high inflation is widespread and growth is slowing in some markets. China's zero-COVID policy could pose a risk to the global supply chain - and inflation - if the newer variants lead to more frequent and large-scale lockdowns. If de...
After months of COVID-related disruptions, China’s economy looks to be on the path to normalization. While China has stepped up stimulus to support infrastructure spending, the property market outlook remains gloomy, mitigating China’s demand for global commodities. ...
Europe took centre stage last week as leaders waited nervously to see if gas would start flowing through Nord Stream 1 again following scheduled maintenance. Next week the focus switches back to the US which has a big interest rate decision of its own and a number of major earnings re...
The National Development Reform Committee (NDRC) announced China's 14th FYP on renewables in June 2022. Provincial targets and project pipeline dynamics reflect a far more aggressive deployment pace. The mismatch of project lead times and a late start for pumped hydro acceleration...
This research highlight summarizes the key impact papers and provides an overview the market signposts in Q2. Mainland China will continue to tighten its efficiency control over the energy-intensive industries as part of the key efforts to achieve carbon pledges. An unprecedented ...
June had seen global employment growth generally holding up well, with many firms continuing to rebuild workforces that had been affected by the pandemic. Key to the price outlook will be the supply situation. Like the US and eurozone, the UK is seeing a natural moderation of grow...
Chinas' property sector has been a major driver of commodity prices over the last couple of decades. The Chinese property sector has been a major driver of Chinese monetary policy, and thus has a significant influence on the Chinese economy. The previous correlation between the pr...
The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...
The Fed will be raising interest rates again soon, and of course, the question is whether the central bank will raise the Fed Funds rate by 0.75 or 1.00 percent. As if the issues in China weren’t enough, the festering Ukraine war-related energy-related issues in Europe could be...