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Stocks were more mixed last week, with large caps up and small caps down. Markets continue to trade on the expectation of a post-virus boom, but the economic data hasn't been on the same page recently. Perception is what drives markets. Through interest rates and exchange rates an...
Fundamentals are in place for a major EM crisis, and I see reasonable probabilities of an unfolding crisis in Turkey providing the catalyst. Meanwhile, complacency in "developed" markets remains formidable. Is systemic crisis even possible while the major central banks are running ful...
In the first quarter, the global economy continued to recover from the steep losses of a year ago, but at a weaker pace as a result of still high COVID-19 cases and slow starts to vaccinations in many countries. The MSCI Emerging Market Index outperformed EAFE, ending 2020 up 18.7%. ...
Upgrades to consensus EPS forecasts have continued apace, further cementing expectations for a V-shaped global growth recovery this year and next. FTSE World estimates for this year have been raised significantly over the past three months (from 15% to 28%), bolstered by upgrades for ...
We believe the Brazilian bond market has overpriced policy tightening over the next 12 to 18 months. Real rates will likely remain quite low for some time given the protracted post-COVID recovery and available spare capacity in the economy. While Brazil is among the first major EM...
A portfolio solely composed of funds aimed at outperforming the largest ETF (SPY) on a risk-adjusted basis. It's not only a reflection of our macro views, but predominantly a statement regarding the sectors we like, dislike, and/or neutral about. In this article we share the portf...
After years of artificially low interest rates and inflation, it's understandable that some investors are disoriented by the current headlines-and worried about what to do next. Before this year, inflation and rising rates were a distant memory for many investors, if not entirely unfa...
More than 60% of global carbon emissions come from emerging-market countries, and the World Bank estimates that climate change could push between 68 million and 132 million people into poverty by 2030. The surge in issuance of ESG-related bonds is a win for both issuers and investors ...
It's been more than a year since the initial outbreak of COVID-19, but the global pandemic continues to challenge economies and their health care systems. Ongoing technological transformation and innovation in emerging markets, which accelerated as a result of COVID-19, have translate...
In reaction to the COVID-19 outbreak last March, emerging markets (EMs) initially sold off more sharply than developed markets (DMs), but saw a stronger recovery owed to higher commodity prices and robust demand from China. Continued performance in EMs is likely to be driven by a weak...
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2024-08-02 04:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...