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The stimulus payments led to a short-term boost in PCE, corresponding with increased economic growth. However, stimulus-fueled activity has a dark side. Economic stagnation arrives as expected as the sugar rush of liquidity continues to fade from the system. When it comes to the s...
Leveraged ETF decay costs have doubled in the last 3 months and the trend is expected to continue. But LETF leakage costs are still very low compared to March 2020. 2x S&P 500 SSO will leak only 1.5% per year relative to holding SPY or VOO. SSO still represents a very inexpen...
Conventional wisdom holds that the U.S. economy is overheating. The jury is still out, but the latest reading on the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow real-time growth measure is pretty grim. Economic spirits might change dramatically in the next few months, with corresponding changes i...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...
Today, very few investments generate income sufficient to meet reasonable future expenses after inflation and taxes. The inability to meet current and future expenses from dividend and interest payments is a sign of a highly priced market. This is the season where politicians and corp...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
ETF year-end report cards are in with only a few trading days left in 2021. Below is a breakdown of funds that received As and Fs for specific criteria. The grading conditions are broken down into five segments: inflows and outflows, performance winners and losers in passive and actively mana...
In addition to my array of systems of long and short leading indicators, I also have an alternative, fundamentals-based “consumer nowcast”. This system looks at the array of devices consumers have at their disposal to assist increased spending. When those systems are...
Sector rotation and rolling corrections continue, further complicating the investment backdrop. As the Fed starts to “taper”, no one can claim they were shocked. The interest rate situation is an entirely different story. Fear and Greed are the two emotions that tell...
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Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...
Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...