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USTs maintain the global lead for outright yields. EUR curve dynamics have decoupled amid EU supply and a steady drumbeat of dovish comments from the ECB to ensure a calm summer. Country CPI data bears upside risks today, but nothing that the ECB wouldn't look through. For f...
The Fed finds itself between a rock and a hard place: either it keeps inflating or the whole confidence-based valuation of financial assets collapses. Either it raises interest rates or the dollar collapses. The lessons from the past have taught us that central bankers only notice a b...
The global economy has reached an important milestone in the second quarter of 2021, surpassing the pre-pandemic real GDP peak attained in the fourth quarter of 2019. After a 3.5% contraction in 2020, global real GDP is projected to increase 6.0% in 2021, its strongest advance since 1...
Emerging markets are still expected to lead the global economic recovery, with forecasted 2021 GDP growth of 6.7% vs. 6.4% for the United States. EM equities rose in May and outpaced developed market stocks. We believe that EMs will continue to show resilience with many countries ...
Brazil: Manufacturing PMI is currently running at 53.0 for 2Q 2021 for two months into the quarter, down from 1Q 2021 reading of 55.9. Russia: Manufacturing PMI remains at the same level through the first two months of 2Q 2021 (51.2) as in 1Q 2021, implying steady, but relatively weak...
Russian stocks have underperformed in 2020. However, I expect this year to be rock solid for Russian companies in terms of performance. Russian equities still have room for growth amid the commodity rally. For further details see: Russian Equities Are Yet To Catch Up Wit...
April PMIs for BRIC economies show continued strengthening in the recovery in China and Russia, moderation in the recovery momentum in India and deepening collapse in the recovery in Brazil. BRIC as a group underperformed Global PMIs in April in both Services and Manufacturing, althou...
While recovery in economic growth could remain muted this year in many markets, we expect more normalization in 2022. EM equities rebounded in April but trailed their DM counterparts. Emerging Asian equities rose in April. Among the top regional markets were Taiwan, South Korea an...
Oil, stocks and gold all cannot rise without a corresponding rise in UST yields. The idea that inflation hedge and risk assets can be up but yields down is untenable. A rise in US yields and stronger USD short circuits emerging market economies especially those with USD currency board...
In a mad dash to buy U.S. stocks, currency allocation has been forgotten by investors. U.S. fiscal and monetary stimulus is unconscionable and will lead to inflation and a certain negative impact on the U.S. dollar. Exposure to foreign currencies provides diversification, upside p...
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RUSL to Eliminate Exposure Through March 18, 2022 PR Newswire NEW YORK , March 3, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Due to the increased market volatility and restrictions on Russian securities and related exposure resulting from sanctions and other measures imposed o...
RUSL Underexposed at Market Open PR Newswire NEW YORK , March 1, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Due to the increased market volatility and restrictions on Russian securities and related exposure, resulting from sanctions and other measures imposed on Russia by t...
Direxion to Close and Liquidate RUSL PR Newswire NEW YORK , Feb. 28, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Due to the increased market volatility, and restrictions on Russian securities resulting from sanctions and other measures imposed on Russia by the United States and...