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By OpenMarkets Following the first negative month of the year for equity indexes, the focus remains on trade tensions. Jack Bouroudjian explains why June is a critical expiration period, and covers why the spread between the U.S. yield curve and German bund Read more ...
I'd say I could think of worse developments for a fragile market at a critical juncture than sweeping antitrust inquiries into some of the most important companies in America, but that wouldn't be entirely true. To be clear, it's been obvious for at least 14 months (i.e., since last March, w...
Until early 2018, the market had been behaving in a consistent pattern for several years. Corrections were short-lived, as were spikes in implied volatility-as measured by the CBOE Volatility Index (the VIX)-from otherwise suppressed levels. While the correction in Q4 2018 was longer-lived, we...
These are the bad times. I opened a May 23 post with those five words and they seem even more apt now than they did a week ago. The linked post documented the fallout in Chinese markets from allegedly imminent US action against a bevy of surveillance companies including Hikvision and Dah...
"Worst Week for Stock Markets since Christmas" (presumably Christmas '18). The headline is a Bloomberg quote caught while prepping the weekly S&P 500 earnings update, Saturday morning, June 1st. From a sentiment perspective, it does now seem like absolutely no one is bullish. These...
I have been pouring over the longer-term charts as we've started to see oil and gold move in directions that would indicate increased fear throughout the global markets while a contraction in economic activity/oil prices appears to be setting up for another big move. The objective is to attemp...
It seems much of the news being reported on the market and the economy lately is falling in the negative category. With both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index down a little over 5% in the month of May, and with only one trading day remaining, highlighting the neg...
What happened last week. What we're watching for next week. The market took another hit this week. May was a bad month for investors. A look at the data might help put things in perspective. Chart of the Week - The Dreaded "Death Cross" Let me stipulate upfront that I am NOT call...
Is a recession coming? Well, yeah, of course it is, but whether it is now, six months from now or 2 years from now or even longer is impossible to say right now. Our Jeff Snider has been dutifully documenting all the negativity reflected in the bond and money markets and he is certainly right ...