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Treasury yields are likely at a temporary sticking point, waiting for the next catalyst to move yields materially in either direction. When I talk about yields being at an important level, it should not be confused with technical analysis. I don't use technical analysis in my approach. The ec...
We didn't know what we thought we knew. As far as market participants understood it, a Sino-US trade pact was a done deal. Last year's escalations gave way to a steady stream of recycled headlines about "progress" in 2019. Talks are always "constructive", according to Steve Mnuchin. China i...
This article has an ambitious purpose, namely, to show investors how interconnected different financial sectors are and how they influence other sectors. The stock markets, the Fed, the debt and the dollar are not independent entities that go their own way. They influence each other. The US do...
The disruption this week is connected with the US-China trade talks that is scaring financial markets throughout the world. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note dropped to 2.45 percent as money poured into the bond market, down from the 2.50 percent close yesterday. This rush to ris...
A few months ago, I wrote part III to this series outlining why interest rates would continue to remain low and most likely continue to fall on the long-end of the curve, confounding consensus opinion as to why interest rates should rise. The consensus opinion on long-term interest rates, ...
Three pieces of recent good news for Federal Reserve officials. First, the rate of growth of the US economy rose or remained constant for the twelfth consecutive month , coming in for the first quarter of 2019 at 3.2 percent. Second, the growth rate of labor force productivity came in at...
By Tom Roseen For the second week in a row, investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including those of conventional funds and ETFs), injecting $15.0 billion for Lipper's fund flows week ended May 1, 2019. However, the headline numbers are misleading. Fund investors were net p...
The BCI at 258.6 is above last week's 257.9, and formed a new high for this business cycle indicated by the BCIp of 100. Also, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 13.7 is above last week’s 12.9. Both BCIp and BCIg are not signaling a recession. (BCIp needs to drop below 25, o...
Why Did Rates Fall On The "Strong" GDP Print? On Friday, the BEA released the Q1 GDP figures which widely beat consensus expectations, rising 3.2% quarter over quarter (QoQ). Under the headline number revealed much weaker results than the top-line "beat" suggested which is why nominal int...
At the end of the second quarter of 2019, the US economy will have completed ten years of growth, the longest period of economic expansion since the end of the Second World War. It appears as if the annual compound rate of growth will come out around 2.3 percent. As post-World War II busines...
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2024-07-24 11:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-14 13:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-14 13:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...