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2023-03-19 05:41:00 ET Summary Idiosyncratic factors certainly played a role in SVB’s failure and the recent turmoil we’re seeing in US regional banks as well as overseas at Credit Suisse. CS is a much larger and more economically critical bank than SVB, with signifi...
2023-03-18 08:54:00 ET Summary S&P 500 earnings don’t start for another 3 – 4 weeks and are almost an afterthought now. The forward 4-quarter estimate slid this week to $221.49 from last week’s $221.55. Looking at companies like Meta (META) and Federal...
2023-03-18 01:44:45 ET Summary The first and original spin on stock market investing meshed with the thrill of the NCAA March Madness tournament! Which "team" (Asset Class) wins out the rest of 2023? Will active or passive be the answer? March Madness is back! No...
2023-03-15 23:05:00 ET Summary After more than 12 long years, the stage may finally be set for an extended upswing in small-caps. When leadership concentration broke down in previous cycles, we saw multiyear periods where small caps outperformed large caps. In the current cycl...
2023-03-15 22:32:00 ET Summary After the painful decline in stock prices last year, many investors have clearly come to the conclusion that this now represents another terrific buying opportunity. The forward price-to-earnings ratio now shows the S&P 500 trades at a multiple o...
2023-03-13 14:34:00 ET Summary The month of March is nearly halfway through and volatility has begun to pick up. Whereas the S&P 500 was up around 2% month to date as of this time last week, currently, the index is down over 2.5%. Although historically March might not be t...
2023-03-13 11:47:00 ET Summary Investors in the S&P 500 (SPX) couldn't catch a break during the trading week ending on 10 March 2023. At this time, it's premature to tell if the dividend futures-based model's multiplier has shifted again. The biggest question investor...
2023-03-10 02:52:00 ET Summary Inflation is not moving down as much as people are anticipating. Labor is showing signs of resilience and strength. The leading indicators are telling us that although things are looking good now, that may not hold up as we get to the back half o...
2023-03-09 03:17:00 ET Summary Put in a logical sequence, dividends should be the last step in the business sequence, since they represent residual cash flows. The most intuitive way to think about potential dividends is to think of it as the cash flow left over after every concei...
2023-03-08 22:05:00 ET Summary Over the past couple of sessions as the market has awaited Fed Chair Powell’s testimony, the S&P 500 has not seen particularly large gaps at the open. The moves in the past couple of sessions have essentially been the opposite of what is h...