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2023-03-24 03:00:00 ET Summary We remain selective in taking risk as macro factors continue to drive sentiment. Despite the uncertainties, investors should not lose sight of equities’ enduring role in a well-balanced portfolio. We advocate a near-term focus on resilienc...
2023-03-23 06:28:00 ET Summary In a closely watched decision, the Fed lifted its benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4.75% to 5% at the conclusion of its March policy meeting. We almost always know what the Fed is going to do on announcement day because the dat...
2023-03-22 17:02:00 ET Summary The economic data renaissance combined with the threat of financial sector instability leaves central banks with difficult choices. Strong household and corporate finances are likely to limit the downturn to a mild recession. The Fed faces a daun...
2023-03-22 13:45:00 ET Summary As we noted in today’s Morning Lineup, sector performance has heavily favored areas like Tech, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services in recent weeks. Although FANG+ stocks have been strong recently, that follows more than a full y...
2023-03-22 09:04:00 ET Summary What does it take to quickly reverse an improving outlook for dividends? Investors have quickly become far more gloomy than they had been before the bank failures and the Biden administration's response to them. Dividend futures indicate the amou...
2023-03-21 13:06:44 ET SPDR Portfolio Large Cap ETF ( SPLG ) - $0.1828 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 1.67% as of Mar. 17. Payable Mar 23; for shareholders of record Mar 21; ex-div Mar 20. For further details see: SPDR Portfolio Large Cap ETF declares quarterly distributi...
2023-03-20 14:58:00 ET Summary As of Friday’s close, QQQ actually finished in overbought territory whereas many other major index ETFs were oversold. Historically, the major indices, namely the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, tend to trade at similar overbought and oversold levels....
2023-03-20 11:00:00 ET Summary While I am not a perma-bear, I have certainly addressed my expectations for a long-term bear market to be seen. Financial markets are not linear, so you should never approach them with this type of perspective. One needs to understand long-term h...
2023-03-19 07:46:00 ET Summary The annual change in real US GDP and the S&P 500 shows broadly the same trends over the last 20 years. To quantify the relationship between the US economy and the stock market, we calculated rolling 10-year correlations. Even if economies and...
2023-03-19 05:41:00 ET Summary Idiosyncratic factors certainly played a role in SVB’s failure and the recent turmoil we’re seeing in US regional banks as well as overseas at Credit Suisse. CS is a much larger and more economically critical bank than SVB, with signifi...