Previous 10 | Next 10 |
Bull Market is now 139 months long. Bull Market has advanced 481%. Interest rates have never been lower at 1.62%. Inflation and higher interest rates threaten stock prices. For further details see: Market Tops Market Bottoms Status Report 2022
The stock market is in the process of being "re-rated" and that increases volatility. Corporate earnings continue to hold this market together. The markets dilemma; rising interest rates don't fix the supply chain and labor shortage issues nor rising energy costs. Consumer con...
Canada sheds 200,000 jobs in January amid omicron wave. U.S. consumer prices rise at fastest rate in 40 years. Are brighter days ahead for U.S. small cap stocks? For further details see: Red-Hot: U.S. Inflation Surges At Blistering Pace
High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Commodity prices, and inflation generally, remain red hot. While the economy is decelerating sharply from a...
The preliminary February results from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers show overall consumer sentiment fell sharply in early February, hitting the lowest level since October 2011. The second sub-index — that of consumer expectations, one of the AIER leading indic...
Yield-starved investors chased stocks to valuations beyond the 1929 and 2000 extremes. A market collapse is simply risk-aversion meeting a low risk premium. As long as investor psychology is not risk-averse (which we gauge using market internals), investors view zero-interest cash...
During periods of bullish speculation, if they last long enough, the excesses generated by reckless, speculative activity will eventually lead to a crisis. Historically, the Fed hiked rates to combat inflation by slowing economic growth. The Fed has a tough challenge ahead of them...
2022 looks to be an uneven year for the markets. Central bank policies succeeded in saving the markets and economies from the risk of depression and mass social unrest as Covid hit full force. That success helped drive a now-threatening level of inflation. Federal Reserve poli...
The Consumer Price Index soared to a 40-year high of 7.5%. Fed Governor James Bullard then took an extraordinarily hawkish stance. His comments sent stocks tumbling and yields surging. Fed rhetoric is tightening financial conditions on their own, as futures markets price in a ...
While US large caps have also struggled lately, they’ve fared far better than their smaller counterparts. Over the past year, much of the Russell 1000’s outperformance is attributable to its bigger exposures to technology and consumer discretionary industries. The sm...