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There are several high-frequency data points that often provide trading fodder for short-term participants, including US PPI, retail sales, industrial output, and housing starts. The individual projections for the Fed funds target rate draw the most attention. In December, five of...
The war in Ukraine continues in its merciless ways, asset markets continue to be buffeted this way and that by the supercilious rumors that drive short-term trading strategies, and policymakers around the world continue to grapple with what the effect of the war will be on inflation and e...
President Joe Biden took new steps along with U.S. allies to punish Russia economically over its invasion of Ukraine, targeting trade and shutting down development funds while also announcing a ban on imports of Russian seafood, vodka and diamonds. Russian military increased bombardme...
To minimize trading risk and grow capital during a global crisis is somewhat hinged on the answers to speculative questions. As of 03/08/22, YTD returns are: DJIA -10.20%, S&P 500 -12.49%, Nasdaq 100 -18.70%. The global currency market, otherwise known as Forex or FX, is the l...
The preliminary March results from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers show overall consumer sentiment fell again in early March, hitting the lowest level since September 2011. The composite consumer sentiment decreased to 59.7 in early March, down from 62.8 in February, a...
It’s been another volatile week in financial markets with events in and around Ukraine continuing to dominate. This in turn creates huge uncertainty around the global economic outlook, with soaring commodity prices a massive downside risk for growth and upside risk for inflatio...
My NEW ERA investment backdrop is entrenched in the current investment landscape. Right now, the "negatives" are getting all of the attention, but there are positives out there as well. Policy errors are taking their toll; HIGH energy costs and HIGH Inflation are embedded in the e...
The Fed may be one and done when it comes to rate hikes. Inflation will kill what growth is left as consumer sentiment sinks. Consumers are simply unable to keep pace with rising inflation rates. For further details see: The Fed Is Raising Rates Into A Recession
Sustained increases in government size reduce long-term economic growth. Government spending distorts incentives that reduce productivity and efficiency. These comments are backed by academic research and proven with actual economic data. For further details see: Why Gov...
U.S. consumer price index jumps 7.9% in February. ECB announces earlier end to quantitative-easing program. Oil prices surge as Russia-Ukraine war roils energy markets. For further details see: Energy Prices Soar Amid Russian Invasion Of Ukraine