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The S&P 500 Index closed out the week ending July 22 with a gain of 2.57%. The index is also now trading above its 50-day moving average. Many other indexes are showing technical improvement as well and are trading above their 50-day moving averages. This is certainly a positive t...
The services side of the economy is considerably larger than the goods side and if it really is contracting at that rate, a recession is probably coming fairly soon. Investing is often a counterintuitive exercise and it is most counterintuitive – and hardest – at turning...
This week is packed with earnings, economic data, and a Fed meeting that should bring a 75-basis-point rate hike. Signs of a rapid economic slowdown have emerged alongside ones that indicate inflation is fading as well. Chairman Powell will set the tone on Wednesday for what could...
Investors are set to receive a deluge of information to digest in the upcoming week. Much of this news has the potential to be negative. Even if the market is anticipating much of this negative news, it still has to absorb it. The market impact from this week's news is not l...
Financial conditions have tightened considerably, so it’s become more difficult and expensive for companies to do business. Success for the Fed may not feel so great in economic terms, but the central bank knows that we must pay this price to root out inflation. Markets wil...
The FOMC meeting is scheduled for this Wednesday, July 27. The stock market is playing this Fed meeting as if it is a non-event. The market may find out the Fed is not ready to cave in just yet. The week of July 25 will be a big one for markets, with the FOMC meeting on ...
The outcome of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting on July 27 is the most important event in the last week of July. The eurozone and the US reported disappointing flash composite July PMIs. The euro often moves inversely to the Italian premium over German. ...
The Fed is intent on raising interest rates to fight inflation and must balance the risk that creates for economic growth. In an analysis of growth versus value stocks using data since 1927, we found value had achieved greatest outperformance in periods of moderate to high inflation. ...
MMT Policy (Modern Monetary Theory), the grand experiment, was tried following the pandemic-driven shutdown of the economy. While MMT policy proponents suggest that giving free money will boost economic equality, the opposite is the case, as shown by the net worth of the top 10% versu...
The coming recession: Deep or shallow? Markets pricing in rate cut in 2023. Overly optimistic? Will 2023 be the rebound year for bonds? The risk of recession grows as the U.S. Fed continues its war against inflation. Michael Craig, Head of Asset Allocation, TDAM ...