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Summary On 26 August 2022, Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. His forceful language and deliberate references to the lessons of history laid to rest any hope that the Fed will shift away from its tightening strategy. Equity markets respond...
Summary The latest inflation data suggests that although the rate of rising has slowed, inflation is not going away just yet as the post-pandemic and war in Ukraine era evolves. Therefore, even though there are still reasons to own certain stocks in this market, the pickings may b...
Summary On January 3, 2001, the Fed chair cut the Federal Funds Rate from 6.5% to 6.0% in response to a declining stock market and weak economic activity. Today, the stock market has been in rally mode since June 16, largely on the prospect of the Fed implementing a much-awaited p...
Summary Chairman Powell kicked off the Kansas City Fed’s annual Jackson Hole symposium on Friday and sent a strong, clear message. First, price stability and getting inflation back to target is the Fed’s prime responsibility, and that goal is the FOMC’s ȁ...
Summary On Friday, the markets digested comments from Federal Reserve chairman, Jerome Powell that came from the Jackson Hole economic symposium. Based on his comments, the Fed Chair left little doubt the push higher in short-term interest rates will continue. In other words, ...
Summary NGDP is a much better indicator than inflation, but still not perfect. If we assume the key macro problem is business cycles created by nominal shocks interacting with sticky wages, then aggregate wage income may be a better cyclical indicator than NGDP. A mild slowdow...
Summary The latest bear market pullback is now underway. How low can we reasonably expect stocks to go in the coming weeks? Individual opportunities amid broader market weakness. The latest bear market pullback is now underway . After bottoming in mid-June, the U.S. ...
Summary Global securities finance revenues reached $6.1bn in the first half of 2022, an increase of 12% YoY. Global ETP lending revenues were $453mn for H1, continuing to set new all-time highs, representing a 48% YoY increase. 2022 is off to an impressive start for Securities...
Summary Two shocks pushed the economy off course in the second quarter - Russia's invasion of Ukraine on 24 February and COVID-19 lockdowns in mainland China. Although real GDP decreased slightly in the first two quarters of 2022, do not call it a recession! With global demand...
Summary New Omicron outbreaks in the context of Covid-zero policy, the housing slump, and heat waves have been holding up the pace of the Chinese economy. China’s current growth slowdown is an additional step in the trajectory of gradually declining rates that has accompani...