Previous 10 | Next 10 |
Summary The Federal Government ran a deficit of -$39B in January. While that may not seem like much, it looks worse when compared to the average January. January saw the largest monthly revenue from Net Income Taxes since April of last year. This helped offset the MoM fall in corporate ...
Summary Changes in the bond market reflect changes in interest rates, inflation expectations, and overall economic conditions, all of which have a significant impact on the stock market. This week, we saw a bit of a dislocation in the bond/stock market relationship. Corporate bonds and ...
Summary The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment added a stronger-than-expected 1.5 points to January’s strong gain to reach 66.4, the highest reading since January 2022. Beijing lashed out at President Joe Biden for saying Chinese leader Xi Jinping faces ‘enormous pr...
Summary Since the FOMC meeting, the US dollar has enjoyed one of the strongest bounces since it topped out in late September/early October. Market positioning was part of the pre-conditions that led to the surge. Ironically, good news on the economic performances may weigh on stocks and...
Summary Instead of bullish investors sticking with their mantra of 'Don’t Fight The Fed,' it is now a standoff between bullish investors and the Fed. While bullish investors cling to historical statistics about market returns, the problem is the Fed remains clear that it will not...
Summary People are looking here and there for clues but they aren’t grasping what the Fed is actually doing to either the state of the nation or to both the bond and equity markets. The Fed’s relentless pursuit to lower our rate of inflation is having a quite severe effect...
Summary Developed economies remain the main source of the unusual outperformance of employment relative to output. An easing of global supply chain constraints has also helped encourage many businesses to raise their capacity expansion plans, notably in the US and Eurozone. Optimism...
Summary Fed anticipates job losses and they usually cut as the job market is transitioning from job creation to job loss. Housing is the most interest rate-sensitive part of the economy. If the Fed needs to hike more than what’s being anticipated that higher dividend will hel...
Summary Why job market remains strong despite rate hikes. The implications of an earnings recession. Markets continue to shake off bad news. U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell says inflation is starting to ease, but that more interest rate hikes are still likely needed to cool p...
Summary Jobless claims rose this week, coming in at 196K on a seasonally adjusted basis compared to forecasts of a more modest increase to 190K. Before seasonal adjustments, claims rose from 225K to 234K. Continuing claims similarly rose by more than expected, reaching 1.688 million...