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2023-03-22 02:50:00 ET Summary Both the leading indicators of growth and liquidity continue to suggest growth will slow as 2023 progresses. The housing market and the inventory cycle in particular are still material headwinds to growth, while we are still unlikely to have fully fe...
2023-03-22 02:30:00 ET Summary Early signs of economic unravelling are starting to appear. The Federal corporation that insures bank deposits is woefully underfunded. The Federal Reserve is under pressure to pivot away from its inflation control efforts. Warren Buffe...
2023-03-21 23:49:00 ET Summary Consumer price index release spurred significant interest rate volatility, both during the subsequent trading day after its release as well as over the following week. Higher rates provide for a more volatile interest rate environment. As inflati...
2023-03-21 17:07:28 ET Summary One of the Fed's mandates is financial stability. Another one of its mandates is price stability. The Fed needs to convince markets that it's able to competently execute on both mandates without sacrificing one of the other. In this article, I an...
2023-03-21 11:38:00 ET Summary Plunging Treasury yields are calming financial markets, but they also indicate that the Fed doesn’t need to raise rates higher to match market rates. The banking contagion risk has spread to Europe, where all eyes are now on Credit Suisse afte...
2023-03-21 02:55:00 ET Summary As in prior crisis periods for the banks, like the 2008/2009 financial crisis, some investors used the crisis to structure favorable investment deals. One such investor has been Warren Buffett. Some of the recent sentiment data suggests fear has over...
2023-03-21 02:30:00 ET Summary Inflation flares up and interest rates rise, reducing the value of the municipal bonds and funding dries up. Despite all the turmoil in the banking sector, US stocks managed to post a gain last week but it was entirely due to the rise in technology a...
2023-03-21 00:02:00 ET Summary Recent weeks have seen markets diverge sharply, with some lagging sectors picking up strength. The Nasdaq has been insulated from the crisis that has wreaked havoc on banking stocks. The overall environment has been unrelentingly bearish - this o...
2023-03-20 15:26:06 ET Invesco Russell 1000 Low Beta Equal Weight ETF ( NASDAQ: USLB ) - $0.1896 . 30-Day SEC Yield of 1.93% as of Mar 17. Payable Mar 24; for shareholders of record Mar 21; ex-div Mar 20. For further details see: Invesco Russell 1000 Low Beta...
2023-03-20 12:45:29 ET Summary It appears there's a short squeeze taking place in Treasury rates. Liquidity in the Treasury futures has evaporated, making the short squeeze even more painful. Once liquidity returns and short covering subsides, rates should rise sharply. ...