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The economic slowdown we’ve been writing about for months officially arrived last Friday in the form of a particularly weak employment report. But the US economy did still add 235,000 jobs in August. The economic recovery is still intact, even if at a reduced rate of change. ...
Vix spikes as volatility rattles the Dow. The advantage of using options strategies when markets turn volatile. How investors can use sector rotations. For further details see: Navigating Market Uncertainty And Higher Volatility
A majority of BlackRock investors in a recent survey felt that inflation would be transitory. Yet, they also felt the market might overreact to the inflation data, making some portfolio protection prudent. Economically sensitive cyclical stocks have had a very strong run since the ann...
In recent years, Value has underperformed other factors in global equity markets. However, the sources of Value performance are not identical. The purpose of this analysis is not to identify the reasons for the slump in Value, but to analyze its performance by region and the differenc...
Small-cap outperformance earlier in the year was powered by expectations that the accelerating US vaccination rollout and easing lockdown measures would usher in a period of robust economic growth as activity normalized. By Q2 end, the small-cap index had relinquished nearly all of it...
There is always an "it's different this time" story as to why the resurgence will or will not happen, but history is on the side of value investors after more than a decade of severe underperformance. The outlook for value is positive both from a valuation starting point and a likely ...
So far, 2021 isn’t looking too different from where we ended 2020. But we see the second quarter bringing greater economic re-awakening, underpinning our constructive outlook for U.S. stocks. While future rate-related panics are likely, we expect rates to remain low for some ti...
Since the end of last year, the "value" rotation finally did get underway, with the energy sector leading the charge. Historically, when rotations to "value" have occurred, it has accompanied significant market reversions and a break of the previous "bullish" psychology. The accom...
This past week, we got to observe Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the US stock market and the US bond market do everything I said they would do in their complicated shuffle of ships-and-icebergs. While bond yields had already begun to rise and compete against stocks, the Fed stayed the co...
Even as we see US rates making an orderly retracement away from record lows, we are struck by the angst this is causing many investors. In our view, rising interest rates should not of themselves be a cause for alarm. For equity investors, and especially those investing in value secto...