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US companies see strong food grocery sales as consumers focus on essentials. Food manufacturers report smaller gross margins as rising input and operating costs outpace sales growth and price increases. Consumer food price inflation ticked higher in June, reaching 10.4% in the US ...
We highlight the top three behavioral biases to avoid in the new, volatile market regime - and give tips on how investors can try to overcome them. Stocks rallied and yields fell last week after markets concluded the Fed’s pace of rate hikes will slow. We are less sanguine and ...
Last week was action-packed and it’s not likely to ease up with attention now shifting from the Fed and the “technical recession” in the US to the labour market. Various officials have highlighted the strength of the labour market when explaining why the US isn...
Recession risks are clearly mounting, and that’s the most obvious reason for the Bank to stop tightening by the autumn. The upshot so far is that demand is weakening and supply may be starting to improve. The hawks have become more vocal about sterling weakness. ...
In all fairness to the Atlanta Fed, some of last week’s statistical releases indicate an economic slowdown, but at a very slow pace, nothing like the rapid contraction that accompanied serious contractions in 2008-9 or 2020. Russia’s Gazprom last week notified major cust...
As inflation raged, central banks accelerated the pace of monetary policy tightening, aiming to slow the growth of aggregate demand and calm price pressures. In response to persistently high inflation and an upward drift in long-run inflation expectations, central banks are accelerati...
Concerns about stagflation have emerged because high inflation is widespread and growth is slowing in some markets. China's zero-COVID policy could pose a risk to the global supply chain - and inflation - if the newer variants lead to more frequent and large-scale lockdowns. If de...
UK economic growth slowed to a crawl in July, registering the slowest expansion since the lockdowns of early-2021. Business activity at UK private sector companies increased for the seventeenth month running in July, but the rate of expansion was the weakest over this period. Inpu...
Europe took centre stage last week as leaders waited nervously to see if gas would start flowing through Nord Stream 1 again following scheduled maintenance. Next week the focus switches back to the US which has a big interest rate decision of its own and a number of major earnings re...
The UK economy surprised in May with robust growth following three months of stagnation, but that reading was distorted by holiday dates. The Conservative Party had promised a reduction in taxes, but that measure will likely have to await the election of a new leader and prime ministe...