PSQ News and Press, ProShares Short QQQ From 06/11/24

2024-06-11 08:10:00 ET Summary We've been tracking a recession forecast model developed for the Federal Reserve Board by Jonathan Wright in 2006, which utilizes the U.S. Treasury yield curve as an input, while also factoring in the level of the Federal Fund Rate. In following mont...

2024-06-01 01:45:00 ET Summary The Treasury yield curve has been inverted between the 10-year and 2-year maturities for 500 days. Prior to the current inversion, which started in 2022, the 10-2 curve has inverted on four occasions since 1987. It still may be too early to concl...

2024-05-28 10:50:00 ET Summary A broad set of US economic indicators continues to show that the odds are low that an NBER-defined recession has started or is imminent. The macro trend peaked earlier in the year and is slowing, but the current reading for April remains moderately n...

2024-05-24 11:50:00 ET Summary Wall Street economists increasingly believe the risk of recession has fallen sharply. We currently have the longest, consistent period in history where the yield spread between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill is inverted. ...

2024-05-22 12:51:09 ET While investors eagerly await Nvidia’s ( NASDAQ: NVDA ) Q1 earnings report to arrive Wednesday, the mood appears relatively serene in the options market for the AI chipmaker, according to Interactive Brokers' top strategist. ... Read the ...

2024-05-10 07:50:00 ET Summary The four-week moving average of initial claims, which the Labor Department also provides, irons out the week-to-week squiggles. We’re looking for sharp increases in weekly claims for unemployment insurance benefits, and we’re looking fo...

2024-05-10 07:26:37 ET Momentum is back in the markets, with major indices like the Dow ( DJI ), S&P 500 ( SP500 ) and Nasdaq ( COMP:IND ) all just 1% away from their all-time record highs. The bull run is continuing despite concerns that the Fed might hold rates hig...

2024-05-09 10:40:00 ET Summary There are many ways to monitor recession risk, but any one indicator in isolation is flawed. In the search of early warning signs of trouble, it’s useful to focus on the labor market, which is arguably the key driver of economic strength and w...

2024-05-02 05:40:25 ET There's a famous adage on Wall Street called "Sell in May and go away," but investors are analyzing if the strategy still holds any merit. The investment approach posits that stocks tend to underperform in the six months through October, so investors should convert to...

2024-05-01 10:20:00 ET Summary The probability the U.S. economy will see a recession begin sometime in the next twelve months has started to fall again during the past six weeks, after having hit a double-top. The Recession Probability Track indicates the probability a recession w...