Previous 10 | Next 10 |
Whether we want to admit it or not, we have a considerable inflation problem. Prices are skyrocketing all around us, and high inflation is already impacting retail sales, consumer sentiment, and confidence. Moreover, corporate margins, profits, and EPS will likely soften as we mov...
With January’s 7.5% headline CPI reading coming in as the highest inflation number in nearly 40 years, now seems an opportune time to assess the outlook for inflation. Understanding where inflation is heading is not only important from an economic perspective, but the direction...
Risk assets likely come under pressure (if history is a guide) as the Fed starts hiking rates. Recessions odds rising and investors should recognize 2022 is a different investing climate. Rising wages should buoy the US consumer, cushioning a potential economic blow. For fur...
The price of government bonds, particularly those with shorter maturities have declined considerably over the past seven months. Growth rates and future earnings are inextricably connected. Value companies often command much lower price to earnings ratios. For further detail...
The latest US CPI report further stoked inflation fears as inflation rates spiked. Despite a safety trade on Friday associated with the Russia/Ukraine situation, traders expect six Fed rate hikes in 2022. Wage growth acceleration points to maximum employment, an important pillar o...
The rapid economic growth of 2021 is a result of the slow economic growth of 2020. It is highly likely that the real economic growth of the 2020s may be more like the slow growth of the economy following the Great Recession, or even worse. The Federal Reserve and the federal gover...
The Fed held a special closed-door meeting Monday. I expect that the Fed will say that raising key interest rates amidst rising energy prices due to the Russia/Ukraine situation, plus the economic disruptions from the Canadian trucker blockade, may be unwarranted. Christine Lagarde an...
The many tailwinds that supported the rapid rise in the markets from 2020 to the present have started to reverse. Also, not surprisingly, is the subsequent surge in inflation. Now, the financial markets are starting to reflect the risk of a more aggressive Fed working to reverse the a...
With inflation running at multi-decade highs, major central banks get ready to tighten monetary policy. Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Chief Investment Officer Sonal Desai argues they are well behind the curve—and why she thinks markets still underestimate the long, volatile a...
Stocks tanked as bond yields rose above the 2% level on the US Ten-Year note. The stock market and related investment areas influence the economy, more than the economy influences the markets. The S&P 500 sold off aggressively, closing below the critical 200-day moving average...