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Russian troops stormed toward Ukraine’s capital early Saturday, and street fighting broke out as city officials urged residents to take shelter. Russia is facing more resistance than Moscow anticipated in its invasion of Ukraine, including in its advance on the capital, Kyiv, a...
Markets reacted strongly to the news that Russia invaded neighboring Ukraine. The world has been watching tensions in the region escalate since the beginning of the year. Prior to the Russian action, investors were largely focused on high inflation and imminent rising interest rates. ...
Equity valuations are most vulnerable to rising rates when starting yields are low, which is why now is a critical time to consider a rate hedge for equity portfolios. Given this highly sensitive relationship, we discuss how adding an options-based rate hedge focused on longer-dated r...
The Federal Reserve continues to taper its purchase of securities and speaks of raising its policy rate of interest in March, but the future becomes more uncertain. The situation in Ukraine continues to worsen putting pressure on markets and, hence, further pressure on the Federal Res...
Whether this pullback will remain a "correction" or turn into a full-fledged bear market is still undecided. The re-rating of the equity market continues as investors wrangle with what I have called the NEW ERA. It has been, and continues to be, a "market of stocks". For fur...
High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long leading, short leading, and coincident indicators. Although measures of economic stress have generally been increasing, they are nowhere near levels associated wi...
It’s been another week of significant volatility in financial markets and there’s little reason to expect next week will be any different. The tragic events in Ukraine will continue to have a big impact on the markets in the coming weeks as it becomes clear what Vladimir...
The emotion-driven plunge in stocks at yesterday’s open felt like the point of capitulation for this market correction. The stock market averages were already oversold, and bearishness had reached an extreme. Investors will refocus on inflation and Fed policy in the weeks a...
The long and short of it is that geopolitical conflicts are a lot more frequent than we might like to admit and the market always overcomes the short-term turmoil. How the Fed responds will be interesting. My guess is that they’ll raise rates less than previously expected becau...
Following the headlines regarding Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, our thought leaders have come together to outline potential macro impacts tied to these recent events. Our Senior Investment Strategy Advisor, Jeremy Siegel, believes the dominant theme for the markets over the com...