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The aging population drove a steady rise in retirees over the past decade. The pandemic accelerated this with a surge in those opting to retire sooner than previously expected. After two years of debt-addition and extreme price inflation in homes and corporate securities (equities and...
Interest rates, oil prices, and the dollar have all continued their individual uptrends. The probability of an earnings recession, possibly a very significant one, has only grown over the past few months. The relative performance of small-cap stocks points to more than just an ear...
According to our analysis, on a year to date basis, we are doing better than 80% of our growth peers, a fact which we attribute to taking action where we discerned it advisable. We’re not sitting still nor have we bunkered down in a buy and hold at all costs mentality. We may g...
The latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show the total number of job openings in the economy fell to 11.263 million in January, down from 11.448 million in December. Two industry categories have more than 2.0 million openings each: educati...
It's been an incredibly difficult time for equity investors, as YTD returns have been ugly to say the least. The Russia-Ukraine crisis, oil prices above $100, historic inflation levels, and a rate hike cycle are giving investors every reason to get out of the market. After a numbe...
Large trades, 1000 contracts and up, saw relatively little growth over the year. In terms of market share, short-term contracts continue to see strong growth. Recent market dynamics appear to be having an impact in option pricing, particularly among 'meme' stocks popular with a se...
The latest installment of the consumer price index is expected to come out on Thursday, March 10. Inflation is nowhere near under control, but there were some small signs of hope before the war in Europe. If inflation continues to come in higher than expectations in the face of so...
The debit balances in margin accounts indicator weakened sharply, dropping from a positive trend to a negative trend. While nominal retail sales continue to grow, the real retail sales indicator in the AIER Leading Indicators Index remains in a downtrend. Demand for the manufactur...
Stagflation is a period of weak growth, if any, combined with high inflation. After looking at the February Employment Situation report, it is readily apparent the labor market backdrop here in early 2022 is light years away from the 1970s average. Fed has a long runway for tighte...
Amid the widespread stock-market wreckage arising from the Russian-Ukraine conflict in February, there was one notable survivor: US small caps actually posted gains for the month, eclipsing the broad US market and most markets elsewhere. Small-cap companies typically derive more of th...