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Market perspective is essential in avoiding investing mistakes. The problem is that most investors did not buy the 2020 bottom or sell the 2022 peak. Keep your market perspective in check and make sure you aren’t anchoring to something that will lead to poor decisions over ...
Having closed the door for assessing the performance of the January 2020 'Phase 1' trade deal between the U.S. and China, we've refocused our ongoing trade analysis to focus on the trade recovery from 2020's coronavirus pandemic. For our purposes, we opted to model a counterfactual af...
Tech stocks plunged yesterday under the weight of higher long-term interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield soared to 2.14%, which is the highest it has been since July 2019. The price of oil is falling as fast as it rose, as sentiment swings and speculators look to take profits...
EU extended the Russian sanctions enforced in 2014 following the annexation of Crimea to include specific dual-use and military items that would prohibit the proliferation of Russia's economy through its various key industries. The US Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) expanded its...
Inflation looks uncomfortably high, ingrained and troublesome, but net worth looks fabulous. Gold is very expensive because investors have been buying gold in order to hedge against rising inflation. Despite the fact that outstanding federal debt is just shy of its highest level i...
Why the Russia-Ukraine war likely won't alter the Fed's rate hike plans. Why a prolonged Ukraine conflict could start to weigh on the U.S. recovery. The U.S. consumer has been resilient, but what they're spending on may be changing. For further details see: U.S. Recovery...
Household net worth rose to a new record in the fourth quarter of 2021; totaled $150.3 trillion, up 3.7 percent or $5.7 trillion from the previous quarter, and 14.4 percent from the end of 2020. Within financial assets, equities led with a $1.6 trillion or 5.3 percent rise. Nonfinanci...
Inflation and its implications for real economic growth are the main portfolio positioning consideration of the conflict in Ukraine. On the 8th of March, the U.S. sanctioned Russian energy imports, giving companies 45 days to comply. Higher commodity prices are not the only factor...
The next movement of the market will be predicated on what Powell says in the press conference about how the Fed will respond to rising inflation, struggling supply chains and an armed clash in Europe. The fight against inflation is a difficult conundrum. The problem is the economy is...
We believe value is likely to outperform growth over the coming years and threats to economic growth from inflation, rate hikes and geopolitical risks do not change our view. The global economy, led by the U.S., was growing rapidly as it reopened from the coronavirus pandemic. Yea...