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The blowback from the war in Ukraine has only just started to rock the global economy, but the early clues for the US remain encouraging. An added factor of uncertainty, some economists advise, is changes in the forces of growth and contraction. So far, however, there are reasons ...
Preliminary PMI survey data showed only a modest impact from the Ukraine war on current economic growth in the world's largest developed economies in March. Business activity continued to grow strongly across the G4 developed economies of the US, eurozone, UK and Japan in March. G...
Elevated energy prices are a significant driver of higher consumer prices. Equity income presents numerous solutions that are well-suited to generate yield in the current environment. In this environment, traditional fixed income will be tricky to navigate from yield and total ret...
AAII’s weekly sentiment survey saw a double-digit increase in the percentage of respondents reporting as bullish, with the reading rising from 22.5% up to 32.8%. The percentage of respondents reporting as pessimistic fell from nearly 50% of respondents down to 35.4%. Bears ...
Inflation was never a problem during the 1993-1995 period. Globalization was disinflationary and made soft landings possible. The current trend on de-globalization is stagflationary. Prepare for the hard landing - recession and the bear market in S&P 500. For further...
This morning's seasonally adjusted 187K new claims, down 28K from the previous week's revised figure, was below the Investing.com forecast of 212K. The COVID spike isn't as prominent. The headline Unemployment Insurance data is seasonally adjusted. For further details see: ...
The average daily volume for trading of U.S. Equities reached significant new records between 2020 and today. Cboe ranks third overall in market share among major exchanges, across all tapes, as of the first quarter of 2022 to date. The market dynamics have changed rapidly in rece...
For now, it appears as though the stock market may have jumped the gun and as such could offer some respite over the coming weeks. The retail, transports, metals & mining, materials, and industrials sectors were clear underperformers as the market topped in December and have since...
Total durable goods orders are up 16.7 percent from a year ago. Accelerating price increases have an impact on capital goods. The outlook remains uncertain. For further details see: Durable Goods Orders Fell In February On Broad-Based Declines, But Remain High
Citing Fed Chair Powell’s recent inflation alarm, Goldman Sachs is predicting the U.S. central bank will hike policy rates half a percent at both its May and June meetings. Even though the highest risk corporate bonds have so far fallen less than Treasuries, their yields (borro...