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S&P 500 rolls over as both growth and value are hit hard late in the week. IPO activity has dried up while the equity put:call ratio spikes. Insider buying also stalls, but buybacks still expected to be strong. For further details see: Weekly S&P 500 ChartStorm -...
Investors seem to believe that Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, is intent on raising the Fed's policy rate of interest and shrinking the Fed's balance sheet. As long as investors continue to think this way, the stock market will decline. Mr. Powell and the Fed are f...
Historically reliable macro indicators signal growth for the U.S. economy. Our leading indicators weakened slightly during the past month but do not signal an imminent recession yet. Sustained bear markets in equities unfolded in recessions only. The S&P 500 remains on tar...
Commercial paper yields are increasing. The Beige Book was mostly positive. The charts are setting up for move lower next week. For further details see: Next Week Is Not Looking Too Good (Technically Speaking For The Week Of 4/18-4/22)
Between the rising cost of living from inflation and higher taxes (in many countries), households are squeezed. The stand-off between Russia's payment scheme now that it cannot spend the euros due to the sanctions and Europe's reluctance to play ball will likely come to a head in the ...
It appears the war in Ukraine may take a further turn for the worse. A Russian general said the Kremlin’s war in Ukraine aims to secure control of the entire south of the country as well as the eastern Donbas region, according to state news services. China will continue str...
Earnings are doing just fine, and so far the "forward guidance" is not as dire as some predicted. The U.S. Energy crisis and the lack of growth initiatives will have a negative effect on "growth" for a long time. This sloppy market isn't about the Fed, it isn't about geopolitics, ...
It could be an interesting start to the week depending on who wins the second round of elections in France on Sunday. The blackout period means there’ll be no commentary from the Federal Reserve next week. Earnings season is well underway though and there’s plenty of...
When reviewing the current state of the global economy and investment markets, we recommend focusing on market signals and weeding out market noise. While decelerating from the pace of 2021, U.S. economic growth is expected to remain positive in 2022, pending further unexpected inflat...
Seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims remain off of the low from one month ago, but this week did see a sequential improvement. Before seasonal adjustment, claims were also impressive, falling from 224.1K to 196.9K as the brief seasonal uptick at this point of the year unwinds. ...